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A. The argument gives a correlation to prove a point. It does not presuppose the conclusion itself.

B. The effect is that both got ill. The cause is that they both play together. There is no mix up of cause and effect.

C. Irrelevant.

D. The argument initially says that they probably have the same illness. Then later it goes on to say that it definitely is not so and so. This option fits it.

E. There are no multiple examples to compare.

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Hello experts,
KarishmaB Maam AjiteshArun Sir,
I have a small doubt about the intermediate conclusion. Sara and her playmate probably have the same illness as Michael does.
We are concluding this on the basis of the fact that since they both play together every afternoon so they will probably have the same illness.
I would be doubtful even if they would conclude that two people have the same symptoms so they probably have the same disease.(because symptoms of many diseases are fever but the diseases have no remote similarity) but over here the intermediate conclusion seems illogical.

I would highly appreciate it if you can throw some light on this one
Thank you
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Starcricketer
Hello experts,
KarishmaB Maam AjiteshArun Sir,
I have a small doubt about the intermediate conclusion. Sara and her playmate probably have the same illness as Michael does.
We are concluding this on the basis of the fact that since they both play together every afternoon so they will probably have the same illness.
I would be doubtful even if they would conclude that two people have the same symptoms so they probably have the same disease.(because symptoms of many diseases are fever but the diseases have no remote similarity) but over here the intermediate conclusion seems illogical.

I would highly appreciate it if you can throw some light on this one
Thank you
Hi Starcricketer,

That part of the argument is:
1. Sara and Michael play together every afternoon.
2. Sara and Michael are both ill.
3. Sara and Michael have the same symptoms.
therefore
IC. Sara and Michael probably have the same illness.

While reading this argument, we should (a) keep in mind that the conclusion uses the word probably, and (b) not limit symptoms only to "fever". For example, if a doctor sees three-year-old siblings with the (exact) same symptoms A, B, C, and D, he or she would most likely assume that they have the same illness. He or she may order some tests to confirm that, but the simplest explanation would be that the siblings have the same illness.

In short, while this argument is (clearly :)) not watertight, it is reasonable.
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Three-year-old Sara and her playmate Michael are both ill and have the same symptoms. Since they play together every afternoon, Sara probably has the same illness as Michael does. Since Michael definitely does not have a streptococcal infection, despite his having some symptoms of one, the illness that Sara has is definitely not a streptococcal infection either.

The reasoning in the argument is flawed because the argument


(A) presupposes what it sets out to prove

(B) mistakes the cause of a particular phenomenon for the effect of that phenomenon

(C) fails to distinguish between acute streptococcal infections on the one hand, and less severe streptococcal infections on the other

(D) treats evidence that the conclusion is probably true as if that evidence establishes the certainty of the conclusion

(E) makes a general claim based on particular examples that do not adequately represent the respective groups that they are each intended to represent

Sara and Michael are both ill and have the same symptoms.
They play together every afternoon (spend lots of time together).

Common sense tells us that little kids usually get troubled by diseases acquired from the environment or from each other. Since they both spend a lot of time together and they both have the same symptoms, it is logical to say that they likely have the same thing. But the point is "likely." It is certainly possible that both have different illnesses but with same symptoms.

Conclusion: Since Michael definitely does not have a streptococcal infection, Sara doesn't definitely have it either.

What is the flaw here? From "likely," we have gone to "definitely" in our conclusion.

(A) presupposes what it sets out to prove

We talk about "likely" in the argument but conclude "definitely." We do not pre-suppose "definitely."

(B) mistakes the cause of a particular phenomenon for the effect of that phenomenon

Not True. No cause - effect

(C) fails to distinguish between acute streptococcal infections on the one hand, and less severe streptococcal infections on the other

No discussion of acute vs less severe.

(D) treats evidence that the conclusion is probably true as if that evidence establishes the certainty of the conclusion


Correct. Takes "probably true" to be "certain."

(E) makes a general claim based on particular examples that do not adequately represent the respective groups that they are each intended to represent

Not correct. In fact it tries to establish a specific case (they do not have streptococcal) after talking about general (they likely have the same thing)

Answer (D)
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Three-year-old Sara and her playmate Michael are both ill and have the same symptoms. Since they play together every afternoon, Sara probably has the same illness as Michael does. Since Michael definitely does not have a streptococcal infection, despite his having some symptoms of one, the illness that Sara has is definitely not a streptococcal infection either.

The reasoning in the argument is flawed because the argument

(A) presupposes what it sets out to prove - WRONG. It might have presupposed but doesn't prove it at all OR either way.

(B) mistakes the cause of a particular phenomenon for the effect of that phenomenon - WRONG. Cause and effect are not discussed neither ascertainable.

(C) fails to distinguish between acute streptococcal infections on the one hand, and less severe streptococcal infections on the other - WRONG. Off target. Irrelevant.

(D) treats evidence that the conclusion is probably true as if that evidence establishes the certainty of the conclusion - CORRECT.

(E) makes a general claim based on particular examples that do not adequately represent the respective groups that they are each intended to represent - WRONG. Representation is not at all concerned.

The highlighted text in the passage are guiding posts that give direction to the passage. Note the specific adverbs used in the conclusion.

Answer D.
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