mohnish104
Fedora Convertibles began selling the Freewheeler - its newest convertible sports car - in May of this year. Fedora sent out a press release last month indicating that the Freewheeler’s sales for May, June, July, and August totaled over 50,000. As a result, Fedora will in all likelihood easily meet its stated sales goal of 120,000 for Freewheeler's first year of release.
Which of the following would be most useful in order to evaluate this prediction? A. Fedora is the market leader in this category of automobile.
B. Freewheeler is significantly more expensive than similar models produced by Fedora’competitors.
C. Fedora released a similar model in May of the previous year.
D. Sales of similar models of cars are typically much higher in the summer months than at any other time of the year.
E. Freewheeler sales are important to meeting the sales goals of Fedora as a company.
There is a very good variance test that e-gmat proposes to use in case of evaluate the argument questions.
The variance test suggests that in options that seem feasible , take the answer choice to extremes - both positive and negative ways and if the conclusion in the argument also sways the same way then that is the correct answer choice.
For example in this question the conclusion is "Fedora will in all likelihood easily meet its stated sales goal of 120,000 for Freewheeler's first year of release."
when we go through the answer choices then one answer choice that seems to be good is option D.
To evaluate our argument we take this answer choice and take it to extremes
-> Sales of similar models of cars are typically much higher in summer months - assume this is 100% true.
If this is true then it raises doubt about the conclusion.
-> Sales of similar models of cars are typically much higher in summer months - assume this is not true at all.
If this is not true then our conclusion stands valid as it is assumed that the the sales of the car will go on at similar rate.
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