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I chose B as my answer because of the following reasoning.

To strengthen an argument that A causes B, we should remove any possibility of C causing B.
A = Forest turning back
B = Black earthworm population increasing
C = The birds DO NOT prefer black earthworms over red earthworms

So, when we remove another possible factor (C) that could cause (B), it strengthens the argument .
The population of black earthworms have increased significantly NOT because the birds DO NOT prefer black earthworms.

OR

The population of black earthworms have increased significantly even though the birds prefer to eat black earthworms.

If the birds do not prefer black earthworms, then, now that the forest has turned black, red earthworms have lost their camouflage, so birds are eating more red earthworms. The population of red earthworms has decreased and so the number or black earthworms is almost equal to the number of red earthworms now.
Basically, the equality of the number of black and red earthworms is not because birds are eating red earthworms more, but because black earthworms are getting camouflage now that the forest has turned black.
So, I feel statement B also strengthens the argument.

Can anyone please explain why this reasoning is wrong? Is it too far fetched?
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I chose B as my answer because of the following reasoning.

To strengthen an argument that A causes B, we should remove any possibility of C causing B.
A = Forest turning back
B = Black earthworm population increasing
C = The birds DO NOT prefer black earthworms over red earthworms

So, when we remove another possible factor (C) that could cause (B), it strengthens the argument .
The population of black earthworms have increased significantly NOT because the birds DO NOT prefer black earthworms.

OR

The population of black earthworms have increased significantly even though the birds prefer to eat black earthworms.

If the birds do not prefer black earthworms, then, now that the forest has turned black, red earthworms have lost their camouflage, so birds are eating more red earthworms. The population of red earthworms has decreased and so the number or black earthworms is almost equal to the number of red earthworms now.
Basically, the equality of the number of black and red earthworms is not because birds are eating red earthworms more, but because black earthworms are getting camouflage now that the forest has turned black.
So, I feel statement B also strengthens the argument.

Can anyone please explain why this reasoning is wrong? Is it too far fetched?

(B) could strengthen that "blackening of the woods is responsible" but it does not strengthen "blackening of the woods is SOLELY responsible".

Check out my detailed post on this: https://www.gmatclub.com/forum/veritas-prep-resource-links-no-longer-available-399979.html#/2015/1 ... onclusion/
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In 1990, a factory was built in Millerton and emissions from the factory blackened much of the woods. The population of black earthworms is now almost equal to that of the red-brown earthworm, a result, say local ecologists, solely stemming from the blackening of the woods.

Premise states that due to
"Red Color" of wood red -worms were not easily preyed upon,while the blacks were so R = 5 times the B

As stated in RED quoted above .

Industry set -up => Blackening of woods => easy contrast for REDS bad contrast for BLACKS => Drop in numbers of RED which supports the conclusion in green ,this causal relation as I mentioned above supports the conclusion . Doesn't it?


This is a good point. One more thing to consider is why isn't the blackworm population greater than the red worm population, given the blackening of the woods. There must be a reason the red worm population is not tapering off. Option C is the only option that gives a possible reason for the red worm population to equilibrate w/o going down. If option A is true then the black worm population would eventually be much larger than the red worm population.

Therefore C.
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Hey experts

KarishmaB GMATNinja mikemcgarry ExpertsGlobal5 AjiteshArun

Could you explain why option D is incorrect? Isn't option D indirectly saying that lifespan did not cause it. Hence we are eliminating one possible cause. Hence, it is strengthening the argument.
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Hey experts

KarishmaB GMATNinja mikemcgarry ExpertsGlobal5 AjiteshArun

Could you explain why option D is incorrect? Isn't option D indirectly saying that lifespan did not cause it. Hence we are eliminating one possible cause. Hence, it is strengthening the argument.

Initially, number of Red worms was 5 times that of Black worms (because of better camouflage for Red). Now the two are almost equal, only because camouflage favours Black.
What will help strengthen it? By saying that nothing else changed between the two (e.g. red did not get infected by a virus that attacks red worms only).

A statement that gives us data about both together as a group will not make any distinction between the two. (D) says that avg earthworm lifespan has not changed. So it doesn't give any distinction between the numbers of the two. What affects (or doesn't affect) one affects (or doesn't affect) the other in the same way so it is not useful.
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TGC
Two types of earthworm, one black and one red-brown, inhabit the woods near the town of Millerton. Because the red-brown worm's coloring affords it better camouflage from predatory birds, its population in 1980 was approximately five times that of the black worm. In 1990, a factory was built in Millerton and emissions from the factory blackened much of the woods. The population of black earthworms is now almost equal to that of the red-brown earthworm, a result, say local ecologists, solely stemming from the blackening of the woods.

Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen the conclusion of the local ecologists?


A. The number of red-brown earthworms in the Millerton woods has steadily dropped since the factory began operations.

B. The birds that prey on earthworms prefer black worms to red-brown worms.

C. Climate conditions since 1990 have been more favorable to the survival of the red-brown worm than to the black worm.

D. The average life span of the earthworms has remained the same since the factory began operations.

E. Since the factory took steps to reduce emissions six months ago, there has been a slight increase in the earthworm population.


What is wrong with option (A)? As we have to prove that after factory operations the red ones were more visible than the black ones ,so this should provide support to "Black = Red solely stemming from the" blackening of the woods."
Knowing that factory operations was the cause of " blackening of the woods."
­We can conclude from the argument that since the wood got blackened, it increased the population of the black worms. But, the last line says, "The population of black earthworms is now almost equal to that of the red-brown earthworm..." i.e. the population of red-brown worms matches that of the black worm. So, there must have been something which was in favour of maintaining the latter's population. Option C says, climate conditions were in favour of the red-brown worms than black worms. Additionally, if we look at other options except C, they are too extreme or irrelevant to our conclusion. Option (C) is correct.
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