Skywalker18
Anne: Halley’s Comet, now in a part of its orbit relatively far from the Sun, recently flared brightly enough to be seen by telescope. No comet has ever been observed to flare so far from the Sun before, so such a flare must be highly unusual.
Sue: Nonsense. Usually no one bothers to try to observe comets when they are so far from the Sun. This flare was observed only because an observatory was tracking Halley’s Comet very carefully.
Sue challenges Anne’s reasoning by
A. pointing out that Anne’s use of the term “observed” is excessively vague
B. drawing attention to an inconsistency between two of Anne’s claims
C. presenting evidence that directly contradicts Anne’s evidence
D. offering an alternative explanation for the evidence Anne cites
E. undermining some of Anne’s evidence while agreeing with her conclusion
OFFICIAL EXPLANATION
The correct answer choice is (D).
The arguments of Anne and Sue can be analyzed as follows: Anne’s Argument: Premise: Halley’s Comet, now in a part of its orbit relatively far from the Sun, recently flared brightly enough to be seen by telescope. Premise: No comet has ever been observed to flare so far from the Sun before. Conclusion: Such a flare must be highly unusual. Sue’s Argument: Premise: Usually no one bothers to try to observe comets when they are so far from the Sun. Premise: This flare was observed only because an observatory was tracking Halley’s Comet very carefully. Conclusion: [Your conclusion is] Nonsense. As is often the case with two-speaker stimuli, the speakers disagree. In this case, Anne uses causal reasoning to indicate that the cause of the sighting is unusual activity with Halley’s comet: FU = the flare is highly unusual, NCO = no comet has ever been observed to flare so far from the sun, FUNCO. Sue counters by citing an alternate cause: no one has been looking for such a flare. NO = no one bothers to try to observe comets when they are so far from the Sun, NCO = no comet has ever been observed to flare so far from the sun, NO NCO.
The problem now becomes an exercise in figuring out how the test makers will describe the alternative cause cited by Sue.
Answer choice (A): This answer quickly fails the Fact Test. Sue does not comment on use of the term “observed” (other than to explain why the flare was observed).
Answer choice (B): Although Sue cites an explanation that is inconsistent with Anne’s claim, she does not point out an inconsistency between two of Anne’s claims.
Answer choice (C): Remember, evidence is the same as premises. Does Sue contradict Anne’s premises? No, she only contradicts her conclusion. Do not be drawn in by the word “nonsense.” That word is used to attack the conclusion, not the premises of the argument.
Answer choice (D): This is the correct answer. In this answer, the alternate cause is described as an “alternative explanation.” In most cases, a causal counterargument can be described as offering an alternative explanation.
Answer choice (E): This is a Reverse Answer. The answer appears as follows: “undermining some of Anne’s evidence while agreeing with her conclusion” If the answer choice was reversed in the following manner, it would be correct: “undermining her [Anne’s] conclusion while agreeing with some of Anne’s evidence ” The evidence she agrees with is the first sentence of Anne’s argument (the premise in the second sentence is not directly addressed).