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27 Mar 2021, 22:45
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The totally inaccurate 2022 US news MBA Rankings Predictions
So.... this was an odd year, so if I am totally off, please cut me some slack but here is what I am thinking:
This is my list so far
So.... this was an odd year, so if I am totally off, please cut me some slack but here is what I am thinking:
- HBS will be #4
HBS gave the most generous deferral policy along with Tepper. I think both of these programs will suffer somewhat as a result of this. I actually do not know the mix of which students went to the programs (e.g. I am not sure if the best students decided to attend or the bad ones did and the best ones stayed at their jobs) but I do know that a lot of talented people from a variety of schools who were outside of the US were not able to join and thus I feel they will bump the class stats down somewhat. - Kellogg will be #2.
This is debatable and contested. I do not know how US news treats applicants without GMAT Scores but last summer Kellogg has made several unprecedented announcements to first drop GMAT score requirements and second to allow those who got dinged to be reconsidered for admissions. This likely has resulted into a number of score-less applicants as well as ability to pick and choose and replace their class. I think this freedom allowed them to tailor their class stats (I need to check their class profile YoY to confirm this). One unknown is how the US news will be treating score-less applicants... - Haas will be #7 Still or Again
As tradition holds, Haas has to be #7. It has been #7 for 15 years before 2019 when an intern must have made a clerical error bumping it up to #6 (I think it was tied actually and that was the reason) https://gmatclub.com/forum/mba-rankings ... ml#p770991 - Yale, Columbia, and MIT Sloan
will drop in rankings. If not this release, perhaps it will be next year. These MBA programs traditionally attract a lot of international applicants. I am sure applications were great in 2019 and early 2020 but I don't think many people were able to attend who were admitted and thus were dropped or deferred. I think this would dilute their stats with only the US applicants who do not place as much value on the global brand names. - Tech Programs will do great.
Ross, Kellogg, Foster, McCombs, and likely Booth will get ahead and get a bump in their rankings due to strong employment numbers for the class of 2020 - The number of ties in the Top 10 will be down to a single tie.
Please please please US news - no more ties! It is not a ranking if everyone is the same
- There will be havoc in the data.
There has to be. I anticipate and we will have some unpredictable results. I will be very concerned if the data and rankings come out perfectly - that will be suspicious, similar to the Marshall's meteoric rise that did not seem to have an explanation that I could find.... Let's see what happens to Marshall, if they climb 5 points again in the rankings that traditionally move at glacier speeds, we will want to dig in more and understand why and how they are able to do something that no other business school seems to be able to pull off, esp the year when they had no dean and no leadership officially while being plagued by a sexual harassment scandal in the gymnastics department. No offense to Marshall - I am sure they are doing an awesome job but I think whatever the results are, we will need to look at data carefully to understand how it works and what is driving some of these calculations.
This is my list so far
28 Mar 2021, 08:53
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bb - Interesting predictions. The year 2020 taught me that nothing can be predicted, precisely. Therefore, I look forward to seeing all kinds of shocks related to the rankings. 
Regenerate
28 Mar 2021, 10:26
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More later ... but ... I agree that there is a very good chance there'll be some sort of chaos in the rankings.
So, imo, either:
1) The approach / formulas will be tweaked a good deal YoY in order to 'curve fit' the prior rankings into 2021's data set so that schools will all be "sorta in the right spot with no big surprises". Just imagine what would happen if (say) NYU, Dartmouth and McCombs were all in the top 5 using prior year's formulas for determining rankings? I doubt they'd publish a list with this amount of variance from prior lists ... unless they had VERY good reasons (see below).
... or ...
2) We'll see some schools move all over the place (think, UCLA or Cornell jumping from the mid-teens to Top 10 ... or ... a school like Columbia or MIT dropping down to the mid-teens).
The career services data will tell us quite a bit about how customer-service oriented the school is ... how much they'll hustle to really (!!) EARN the quarter-million dollars they're clients are paying them for their MBA degree.
Also, steps like what Kellogg did with their HUGE customer service gestures for applicants should (IMO) create some long-lasting good-will for many future years' of applicants. If I were looking at attending a FT program (or advising someone else on attending a FT program), the more customer-service oriented schools ... and schools with career services staff that really (!!) hustled ... would go way up on my personal rankings --- because, you just never know what'll hit during the 21 months you're getting your MBA, and you want to know that the school and administration will HAVE YOUR BACK during any future chaos.
So, imo, either:
1) The approach / formulas will be tweaked a good deal YoY in order to 'curve fit' the prior rankings into 2021's data set so that schools will all be "sorta in the right spot with no big surprises". Just imagine what would happen if (say) NYU, Dartmouth and McCombs were all in the top 5 using prior year's formulas for determining rankings? I doubt they'd publish a list with this amount of variance from prior lists ... unless they had VERY good reasons (see below).
... or ...
2) We'll see some schools move all over the place (think, UCLA or Cornell jumping from the mid-teens to Top 10 ... or ... a school like Columbia or MIT dropping down to the mid-teens).
The career services data will tell us quite a bit about how customer-service oriented the school is ... how much they'll hustle to really (!!) EARN the quarter-million dollars they're clients are paying them for their MBA degree.
Also, steps like what Kellogg did with their HUGE customer service gestures for applicants should (IMO) create some long-lasting good-will for many future years' of applicants. If I were looking at attending a FT program (or advising someone else on attending a FT program), the more customer-service oriented schools ... and schools with career services staff that really (!!) hustled ... would go way up on my personal rankings --- because, you just never know what'll hit during the 21 months you're getting your MBA, and you want to know that the school and administration will HAVE YOUR BACK during any future chaos.
