The Story
A major impediment to wide acceptance of electric vehicles even on the part of people who use their cars almost exclusively for commuting is the inability to use their electric vehicles for occasional extended trips.This statement gives us a major blocker to wide acceptance of electric vehicles (EVs).
Even for people who use their cars almost exclusively for commuting.
The blocker: the inability to use their EVs for extended trips.
Something like:
I mainly use my car only to commute to and from work. Even then I’d rather not buy an electric vehicle. Because:
I occasionally do take extended trips. But I’ll not be able to use the electric vehicle for those trips.In an attempt to make purchasing electric vehicles more attractive to commuters, one electric vehicle producer is planning to offer customers three days free rental of a conventional car for every 1,000 miles that they drive their electric vehicle.One EV producer has come up with a plan.
Plan: Offer customers three days free rental of a petrol/ diesel car for every 1,000 miles they drive their EV
Goal: Make purchasing EVs more attractive to commuters
(I notice that the goal is to make purchasing EVs more attractive specifically to commuters. The goal is not to simply increase sales of EVs.)EV producer’s logic:A big reason commuters are generally not buying EVs is that they can’t use them for occasional extended trips.
If we offer free rental of a conventional car for those trips (with certain conditions), more commuters will buy EVs. (I have sneakily moved from the actual goal of making EVs more attractive to more sales of EVs. Technically, the two are not identical. For this argument though, I’m going to not worry about that nuanced difference.)
Gaps in logic:Can we infer that if the plan is executed, the goal will be met? If not, why not?
What if the constraints are too stringent?
a. Maybe the ‘extended trips’ last for longer than three days
b. Maybe the commuters take such trips sooner than they drive 1000 miles in their car
There could be other gaps as well. These are what I could come up with.
Question Stem
Which of the following, if true, most threatens the plan’s prospects for success?Framework: We’re looking for an answer choice that will lead me to believe that even if the EV producer runs this campaign, more commuters will not buy EVs.
Answer Choice Analysis
(A) Many electric vehicles that are used for commercial purposes are not needed for extended trips.Incorrect. The goal is to make EVs more attractive
to commuters. Vehicles used for commercial purposes means those vehicles are not used by commuters. So, this answer choice is talking about a different use case.
As far as the commuters are concerned, not being able to use the vehicle for extended trips is a major impediment. This EV producer has offered a solution for this problem. If some other group doesn’t have that problem, that’s fine. The producer is not trying to come up with a universal solution for all EV users.
No impact.
(B) Because a majority of commuters drive at least 100 miles a week, the cost to the producer of making good the offer would add considerably to the already high price of electric vehicles.Correct. What does the option give us
1. A majority of commuters will be eligible for a three-day free rental within every ten weeks
2. EVs are already quite expensive
3. The cost to the producer to offer a free rental that frequently will be significant
4. The producer will pass on this cost to the buyer
5. EVs will become significantly more expensive to buy
Passage: An EV producer has come up with a plan to make purchasing EVs more attractive to commuters
Answer choice: The plan will make EVs significantly more expensive (they are already high-priced)
So, the plan will have one advantage for commuters: getting a conventional car once in a while for their extended trips.
And one disadvantage: The EVs will become significantly more expensive to buy
Will the plan succeed in making purchasing EVs more attractive to commuters?
Once I learn that the plan will make EVs from the producer more expensive, my confidence goes down.
The notion that EVs will become significantly more expensive indicates that the significantly higher price tag will lead commuters to not buy EVs despite the perks.And if it is the plan that is making the EVs more expensive, I believe even more that the plan will not succeed.
(C) The relatively long time it takes to recharge the battery of an electric vehicle can easily be fitted into the regular patterns of car use characteristic of commuters.Incorrect. So using EVs for commuting seems manageable. The big issue commuters had with EVs was using them for extended trips. The producer came up with a plan to tackle that issue. How convenient EVs are for commuting does not help me understand whether the plan will be successful.
No impact.
(D) Although electric vehicles are essentially emission-free in actual use, generating the electricity necessary for charging an electric vehicle's battery can burden the environment.Incorrect. Ok, so EVs are not entirely environmentally friendly. That doesn’t tell me anything about whether the producer’s campaign will lead to more commuters buying EVs.
No impact.
(E) Some family vehicles are used primarily not for commuting but for making short local trips, such as to do errands.Incorrect. I believe one reason some people find this answer choice attractive is that they are not crystal clear about the goal. As I pointed out above, the goal is not to increase overall sales. The goal is more specific than that – to make purchasing EVs more attractive
to commuters.
This answer choice is talking about vehicles not used for commuting. So, it has no impact on the producer’s plan.
Ok, now, what if the goal were more general?
Goal’: Increase sales of EVs (or, make purchasing EVs more attractive to customers).
Would this answer choice threaten the plan’s prospects then?
No.
One flawed reasoning goes along the following lines:
1. There are some vehicles that are used primarily for making short local trips.
2. So, those vehicles are anyway not used for extended trips.
3. Thus, a plan that offers a perk for extended trips will not be attractive to the owners of such vehicles.
4. Since the plan will be unattractive to at least one segment, the plan will probably fail.
The link created in the second point above is wrong. The answer choice tells us that these vehicles are primarily used for making short local trips. These vehicles could very well still be used for occasional extended trips as well. So, even if we generalized the goal, the answer choice would still be incorrect.