mbafever
ANTMBA
Does anyone know when waitlists were announced last year? On the very last day, or earlier than that?
A post a couple of pages back said most WL last year were announced during the last 2 days before the deadline.
Last year, final week of Round 1 played out like this on this forum:
Monday: 6 accepted / 5 dinged
Tuesday: 3 accepted / 4 dinged
Wednesday: No decisions
Thursday: 7 WL
Friday: 1 accepted / 4 WL / 1 ding
So, from here on out, if odds are the same as last year, those who haven't heard yet have a 20% change of being accepted, a 55% chance of being waitlisted, and a 25% chance of getting dinged.
Of course, this is based on the available data, so it could easily be skewed, or AdCom could be using a different strategy this year.