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Increase Global Temp - > Weather Patterns-> Indicating Climate Change.
Similar pattern in the Past.
Conclusion- Current  Result is similar to past because of the same weather patterns.

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.
Conditions can be different for the similar patterns. It is the patterns which are leading to climate change, not the conditions causing the Patterns.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
If other factors effect than the Weather patterns may be caused by these factors. This weakens the argument. It eliminates the possibility that there are no other factors which influence weather patterns.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.
It is already established in the premise that the pattern results from increased global temperatures.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.
Not the assumption we just has to establish the relationship that A causes B. We cannot infer that with increase in A B also increases. 

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.­
The mechanisms can be different for the same pattern. It is the weather patterns which are the indicators of Climate change.

IMO B.
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­(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
This option makes it supports the conclusion that prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls during Pliocene Epoch was due to global high temperatures.

Ans B
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Given the argument literally draws the line from high temperatures to moisture accumulation to heavy downpours, every step of this way has to be supported by an assumption. So needs to be the comparison to a previous epoch.

A is not necessary – because there must be some similarity, as in the temperature increase, but the conditions don’t have to be the same. Eliminate.
B sounds fair, because it draws our attention to temperatures only.
C rings true, given the argument is based on temperature increases.
D is not necessary at all, as we aren’t speaking about the future dynamic. Eliminate.
E is the opposite of what we need, it’s a contradiction. Eliminate.

So, when it comes to choosing between B and C, I feel like C is stronger. B is rather a strengthener for this opinion, whereas C actually sounds like a deal-breaker for the climatologists.
I would go with C.

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In order to answer this question we must define what an assumption is. An assumption is the crucial unstated logical link between the premise and conclusion and it must be true in order for the argument to be valid. This assumption can be seen quite clearly in the last sentence of the Climatologists claim: 

"The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change." 

So the climatologists argue that because there were similar weather patterns during the Pilocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, to today, it follows that current weather patterns are also due to climate change. 

A great way to see if a statement is the assumption, is to do a negation test. This means that while the assumption is necessary to the conclusion so that the argument holds, the opposite will undermine the argument so that it crumbles.

(A) "The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns."

Let's negate this, "The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pilocene Epoch are not the same as those causing current weather patterns."

Well it's still possible that the argument holds. "Conditions" is a broad term and they don't necessarily have to be identical.

(B) "Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch."

"Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch."

Well this changes everything. If other factors besides global temperatures did not influence weather factors, then we know that global temperatures were the primary reason for the weather patterns. But if other factors did indeed significantly influence weather patterns, then we can't make the link between global temperatures and weather patterns.

(C) "Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible."

An argument can still hold even if you do not have evidence. This does not undermine the argument.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.

We are not interested in continue increaes of weather patterns.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.

If anything this works against the argument.

Answer is B
Bunuel
­Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change.

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.



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The A and B Choices for this question were too close.
A negation was missed in the answer choice B which should not have been there
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