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Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change.


Conclusion - The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.

Well, we do not need the conditions to be similar. We need the cause and effect to be similar. Cause - high temperatures. Effect - Heavy rains followed by draughts. It may be the case that conditions are different but still the effects are similar. Reject.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.

Sounds good. This option is basically rejecting the other causes of changed weather patterns during Pliocene Epoch. If this were the case then it seems as if these effects were because of increased temperature. This is our answer


(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.

This is an assumption that is kind of weakening the conclusion. An assumption is something that bridges the gap between premise and conclusion. Reject.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.

Ok, but doesn't help us wrt our conclusion. We dont care about the frequency and severity rising. We are more bothered about the effect than the severity.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.

This seems like a close option. Although, to me, this sounds somewhat sounds like option (A). Mechanisms can be different but what matters is the cause leading to end result. Say, I caused a forest fire with a matchstick. Someone else might cause it by burning petrol. In both the cases, we got the fire to burn (Cause) and which led to increased pollution (Effect). So the mechanism does not really matter.

In our scenario, Pliocene Epoch might have had a different mechanism which led to the increased temperatures(Cause) which led to cycles of rain and draught (Effect). However, the cause -> effect (increase in temperature -> cycles of rain and draught) stays the same.
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­(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns-suggests that the same underlying conditions (such as increased global temperatures) are responsible for both the Pliocene and current weather patterns. This is crucial for the argument because it draws a direct link between historical and current phenomena based on shared causes.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch-- might be relevant, it does not directly address the assumption that the same conditions are causing the patterns. Instead, it focuses on excluding other factors, which is not the primary concern of the argument.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible--addresses the necessity of linking global temperatures to current patterns but does not specifically tie the argument to the historical comparison with the Pliocene Epoch.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.--makes a prediction about the future based on the assumption of continued rising temperatures but does not relate directly to the historical comparison with the Pliocene Epoch.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change--contradicts the argument since it implies that past mechanisms are not relevant to understanding current patterns, undermining the comparison made in the passage.

So ans is A
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Given :

Climate change describe as -
Rising temp->water evaporation->more stored moisture in the atmosphere->Moisture released->heavy rains

Conclusion - Current weather patterns are due to climate change.

Hence, without "Rising temp"- the one which is the trigger point.

Let’s review options -

A. Already mentioned similar in the argument, so this not something new mentioned.
B. “Pliocene Epoch” is not the main point of the argument, so would not give it more time
C. Correct. As mentioned in pre-thinking . Rising temp is the key trigger.
D. Out of scope
E. Out of scope
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Quote:
­Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change.

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?
(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.
- This is incorrect. They don't need to be same, they just need to be similar.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
- This is the correct assumption as it eliminates an alternate explanation.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.
- This is not an assumption, though might be a required premise.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.
- This doesn't compare with the Pilocene.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.
- This might weaken the claim.
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Answer: B

Present: Increased Global Temp results in a certain pattern indicating Climate Change.
Past: Higher Global Temp and similar pattern occurred.

Conclusion: The past event supports the present's claim.

Assumption: In the past, those similar patters were caused by higher global temps and not something else.

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns. While this looks appealing but it is not an assumption that's needed. The conditions that caused don't matter. It is already stated that the patterns were similar and that is more than enough.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch. This matches exactly with the assumption we made above

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible. No

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase. Irrelevant


(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change. Opposite
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­(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.
The argument hinges on the similarity between past and present conditions to support the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change. If the conditions were not the same, the comparison would not be valid.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
This option suggests that other factors should not have played a significant role in the Pliocene Epoch. While it might strengthen the argument, it is not essential for the argument to hold.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.
This is true, but it does not directly address the comparison made between the Pliocene Epoch and current weather patterns, which is central to the argument.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.
This statement is a prediction about the future, which does not directly affect the argument about the similarity between past and present weather patterns.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.
This contradicts the argument, as it suggests that the past and present mechanisms are different, whereas the argument relies on their similarity.­
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Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change. [This is our main conclusion]

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns. [Negation of this doesn't break the conclusion- because exact conditions might be slightly different]

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch. [ If other factors did significantly influence the weather pattern, it's possible that It wasn't the climate change but these factors which caused weather pattern to change- Completely breaks the conclusion]

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible. [We don't need to assume so]

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase. [We don't need to assume so]

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.­ [We don't need to assume so]
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(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
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The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change. We have to find an assumption that justifies this.

Let's analyze the options:

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.

This assumption links both the period - current and Pliocene.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.

Very close, but the current scenario analysis doesnt mention other phenomenons, like ocean currents.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.

These three doesnt connect the two periods. But weakens the argument.

CORRECT OPTION - A

Posted from my mobile device
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­Premise: Increased global temperatures enhance water evaporation, leading to more moisture in the atmosphere, which results in heavy rains following droughts.
Evidence: Similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, which had higher global temperatures.
Conclusion: Current weather patterns are due to climate change.

lets evaluate each option for proper assumption

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns. - Negation of this would weaken the argument by suggesting that the current weather patterns could be due to different causes, undermining the comparison to the Pliocene Epoch. - Lets keep hold on this one.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch. - Correct - Negation of this would weaken the argument by suggesting that the current weather patterns could be due to different causes, undermining the comparison to the Pliocene Epoch. - It directly addresses the possibility of alternative factors influencing weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch. Better option than A.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible. - Incorrect - It’s more about the necessity of temperature evidence rather than the comparison assumption.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase. - Incorrect - Addressing future concern.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change. - Weakening option.

Answer is B.
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Conclusion: current weather pattern are due to climate change
Negative conclusion: current weather pattern are not due to climate change ( to prove)


(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns. T

THE CONDITION THAT CAUSED SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN DURING PE MUST NOT BE THE SAME CAUSING CURRENT WEATHER PATTERN (very near, but still not on point)


(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.

Other factors, besides climate change/global temperature Such as ocean currents and volcanic activity did significantly influenced with the pattern during - Bingo

C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible (talking about evidence -out of scope)

D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.(talking about increasing global temperature -Out of scope)


(E)The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.(not relevant.)
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(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.#Correct. Comapring two different times.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.#This attacks the evidence used.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.#This tries to attack the evidence provided

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.#out of scope

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.#opposite 

Answer A­
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Bunuel
­Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change.

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.



­
 


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The climatologists claim that similar global temperatures as today during the Pliocene Epoch coincided with similar weather patterns as of today, thus like Pliocene, the increased global temperatures today are connected to the weather patterns. This comes after the climatologists have stated that the rising global temperatures cause the observed patterns in weather.

­(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.
Explanation: This correctly represents the flaw in the reasoning of the climatologists, whether be correlation or causation between rising global temperatures and consequent weather patterns, depends on the assumption that the underlying conditions during both epochs have essentially been the same. This is correct.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
Explanation: This is not unlike A, but A definitely captures this better, this fails to capture that there's a similarity that is being drawn in the Pliocene and the Anthropocene. This is incorrect.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.
Explanation: While this is an assumption that requires evidence (or not, because the process has been explained by the climatologists, and there indeed is evidence that temperatures are rising) in the second sentence of the argument, this is not an assumption behind the conclusion that is ultimately drawn regarding the Pliocene. This is incorrect.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.
Explanation: This is out of scope, not an assumption in the argument, thus incorrect.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.
Explanation: This is not an assumption, only a weakener in the argument, for now it is out of scope. This is incorrect.
 
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­Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change.

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.
- This is similar to what is mentioned in the argument

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
- This is not mentioned but we can keep it for now

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.
- This is nowhere an assumption for the argument

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.
- This is too severe to infer. What will happen is not discussed here

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.
- The arguments highlights similarities not differences. Hence No

Option A and B are on hold. Let's try negation method.
If we negate Option B, conclusion of argument is not impacted.
But if we negate option A, conclusion breaks.

Hence Option A is answer
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Let's examine each option:

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns:
This assumption directly supports the argument by linking past and present weather patterns through similar conditions (increased global temperatures). If the conditions are the same, it strengthens the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change. This is a key assumption for the argument.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.
While this could be relevant, it is not necessary to assume this to make the argument. The argument does not rely on excluding other factors but rather on the similarity between past and current conditions.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.
This is true but not an underlying assumption of the argument. It’s more about the necessity of evidence for credibility rather than the specific assumption linking past and present conditions.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.
This is a prediction based on the argument but not an assumption on which the argument relies.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change.
This option contradicts the argument. The argument relies on the similarity of mechanisms between past and present, not their difference.

Hence, A.
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Ans: C

­Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. Conclusion: The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures,  supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change.

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns. - Not necessary. Only high global temperature needs to be the common condition 

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch - Even if other factors influenced the weather pattern, high global temperature was one of the contributors. So this may weaken but not falsify the argument

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible: The argument draws its conclusion on climate change being the reason by stting that similar weather patterns were a result of 'high global temperature' both recently and during Pliocene Epoch. Hence, if there is no evidence of increased global temperature the conclusion will fall apart.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase - Irrelevant

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change - This is a weakener
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Bunuel
­Climatologists claim: The recent pattern of prolonged droughts followed by intense rainfalls is a clear indicator of climate change. This pattern results from increased global temperatures, which enhance the rate of water evaporation and lead to more stored moisture in the atmosphere. When the moisture is released, it results in heavy rains following drought periods. The discovery that similar weather patterns occurred during the Pliocene Epoch, when the earth experienced higher global temperatures, supports the claim that our current weather patterns are due to climate change.

The argument in the passage relies on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The conditions that caused similar weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch must be the same as those causing current weather patterns.

(B) Other factors besides global temperatures, such as ocean currents or volcanic activity, did not significantly influence weather patterns during the Pliocene Epoch.

(C) Without evidence of increased global temperatures, the claim that current weather patterns are due to climate change would not be credible.

(D) If global temperatures continue to rise, the frequency and severity of these weather patterns will certainly increase.

(E) The mechanisms that caused climate change in the past are fundamentally different from those causing current climate change
Claim : The recent weather pattern is an indicator of climate change. 
                                                       

­NOW :   Increased global temperatures  -------> recent weather patterns  -------> indicator of climate change.

P. Epoch : 1. High global temperatures   2.Similar weather patterns.                 1 and 2 occured at the same time.

Discovery : Weather pattern now is similar to the weather pattern during P. Epoch.

The discovery supports the claim.
 

A - We only know that high global temperature was one of the conditions. It is possible that there were other conditions (in addition to high GT) that contributed to the weather patterns in the PEpoch. So this is not a necessary assumption.

B - Similar to option A. Not a necessary assumption.

C - This is a necessary assumption. 

D - Considering this is an if - then scenairo, it is not a necessary assumption.

E - The passage does not support this assumption at all.  


OPTION C­
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