chesstitans
DavidTutorexamPAL
chesstitans
I am really bad at probability. I still get confused with A. I even get paranoid, and comes up with something else.
This question is extremely important, but I got a wrong answer.
Can you be a bit more specific about what you find difficult?
In this question, the 'trick' is to realize that there are 4 groups - 1 containing 5 people and 3 containing two people.
Once you've realized that, the solution method is fairly standard - just choose people from your groups and divide by the total possibilities.
So the hard part of the question is selecting the right 'choice model'.
Which model should you use? It's best to learn this via experience - by solving lots of questions in the field.
the problem is not which math model I use, but the logical sense that I try to comprehend from applying the models. I feel frustrated.
It is important to realise what each statement means:
5 have 4 siblings each - There are a total of 11 people. Say A has 4 siblings so it means we have a group of 5 brother-sister. Each of those 5 brother-sister has exactly 4 siblings. So we have 5 people with 4 siblings each.
6 have one sibling each - Say B has a sibling C. So C also has sibling B. So we have 2 people who have a sibling each. Similarly, we will have 2 more pairs of 2 siblings each. In all we have 3 pairs of 2 siblings each.
So here are sibling groups:
A-P-Q-R-S
B-C
D-E
F-G
Probability of selecting a sibling pair:
We could select one of 5 with a probability of 5/11.
We could then select a sibling for her with a probability of 4/10
Probability = (5/11)*(4/10) = 20/110
OR
We could select one of the other 6 with a probability of 6/11
Her sibling is 1 of the leftover 10 so we can select him with a probability of 1/10
Probability = (6/11)*(1/10) = 6/110
Total Probability = 26/110 = 13/55
Answer (B)