One way to think about it, at least for me is:
Imagine in round one you divided the group into 2 subgroups (ex (2,3) and (5,7)). Now, if you pick one of those two sub groups, your chances of winning is 50%.
In other words, if you choose subgroup one you will lose and in round two if you pick subgroup two, you will win. So you win one out of two trials hence you have a winning of 50%. And winning is equivalent to the pair that has the greatest product.
Now we know that any other two sub groups will have the same results. Therefore, the probability does not change and your probability remains at 50%.
I hope this helps
sssdd1234
Thank you so much!
Bunuel
sssdd1234
I think this is a high-quality question and the explanation isn't clear enough, please elaborate. Could you expand a bit more on how we can get 1/2 without trying out the different combos? I did not understand the explanation given. Thank you so much for the help!
We are dividing the group of four numbers into two equal subgroups of two. Since a tie isn’t possible, one of the groups will always have the greater product. Each subgroup has an equal chance of having the greater product. Therefore, the probability that the product of the numbers in one subgroup exceeds that of the other is 1/2, as neither subgroup has any inherent advantage.
You can explore more conventional methods above or in this thread:
https://gmatclub.com/forum/set-s-consis ... 24713.htmlHope it helps.