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OG 2016 - Demand for electricity

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City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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thanhmaitran wrote:
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.


Conclusion: We must therefore begin to curtail usage [because] there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases.

It is quite logical that existing power plants did not have capacity to meet demand increases but argument says nothing about it so we need to state this fact.

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
Correct. Negation test destroy the conclusion of argument: "Existing power plants do have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity." If they have capacity then we do need to curtail usage.

B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
Incorrect. Whether or not some departments already implement these measures does not cancel needness to curtail the usage.

C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so economic consequences are out of scope.

D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so who exactly create this increase demand is out of scope

E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.[/quote]
Incorrect. This fact does not impact the conclusion about needness to curtail energy usage.
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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Harley1980 wrote:
thanhmaitran wrote:
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.


Conclusion: We must therefore begin to curtail usage [because] there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases.

It is quite logical that existing power plants did not have capacity to meet demand increases but argument says nothing about it so we need to state this fact.

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
Correct. Negation test destroy the conclusion of argument: "Existing power plants do have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity." If they have capacity then we do need to curtail usage.

B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
Incorrect. Whether or not some departments already implement these measures does not cancel needness to curtail the usage.

C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so economic consequences are out of scope.

D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so who exactly create this increase demand is out of scope

E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.

Incorrect. This fact does not impact the conclusion about needness to curtail energy usage.[/quote]

Hi,

Could you please provide your more detail analysis for option D?

here if residential customer are responsible for electricity consumption then how does it make sense to give ordinance for all city departments.


Please clarify.

Thanks

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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 08 Oct 2015, 06:43
Harley1980 wrote:
thanhmaitran wrote:
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.


Conclusion: We must therefore begin to curtail usage [because] there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases.

It is quite logical that existing power plants did not have capacity to meet demand increases but argument says nothing about it so we need to state this fact.

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
Correct. Negation test destroy the conclusion of argument: "Existing power plants do have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity." If they have capacity then we do need to curtail usage.

B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
Incorrect. Whether or not some departments already implement these measures does not cancel needness to curtail the usage.

C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so economic consequences are out of scope.

D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so who exactly create this increase demand is out of scope

E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.

Incorrect. This fact does not impact the conclusion about needness to curtail energy usage.[/quote]

Hi,

Could you please provide your more detail analysis for option D?

here if residential customer are responsible for electricity consumption then how does it make sense to give ordinance for all city departments.


Please clarify.

Thanks

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OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 09 Oct 2015, 13:35
PathFinder007 wrote:
Harley1980 wrote:
thanhmaitran wrote:
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.


Conclusion: We must therefore begin to curtail usage [because] there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases.

It is quite logical that existing power plants did not have capacity to meet demand increases but argument says nothing about it so we need to state this fact.

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
Correct. Negation test destroy the conclusion of argument: "Existing power plants do have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity." If they have capacity then we do need to curtail usage.

B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
Incorrect. Whether or not some departments already implement these measures does not cancel needness to curtail the usage.

C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so economic consequences are out of scope.

D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so who exactly create this increase demand is out of scope

E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.

Incorrect. This fact does not impact the conclusion about needness to curtail energy usage.

Hi,

Could you please provide your more detail analysis for option D?

here if residential customer are responsible for electricity consumption then how does it make sense to give ordinance for all city departments.


Please clarify.

Thanks


Hello PathFinder007
The main point of this question is what we need to curtail current consumption because we don't have space for new power plants.

But what if current power plants can easily provide electricity for next 200 years of such regular increases of consumption?
We don't have space for building new power plants but we don't need to build them.

In such case, this conclusion about curtailing is wrong.

Information about who makes this increase in consumption does not have relation to the conclusion.
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 28 Nov 2015, 02:45
Harley1980 wrote:
thanhmaitran wrote:
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.


Conclusion: We must therefore begin to curtail usage [because] there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases.

It is quite logical that existing power plants did not have capacity to meet demand increases but argument says nothing about it so we need to state this fact.

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
Correct. Negation test destroy the conclusion of argument: "Existing power plants do have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity." If they have capacity then we do need to curtail usage.

B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
Incorrect. Whether or not some departments already implement these measures does not cancel needness to curtail the usage.

C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so economic consequences are out of scope.

D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so who exactly create this increase demand is out of scope

E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.

Incorrect. This fact does not impact the conclusion about needness to curtail energy usage.[/quote]


I always get confused on what the conclusion is. In this question isnt the plan the conclusion ? If not what is it ? Premise?

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OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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I always get confused on what the conclusion is. In this question isnt the plan the conclusion ? If not what is it ? Premise?[/quote]

Hi ,

Conclusion is always the final message /Verdict that the author/passage wants to deliver and a premise would be set of facts,details or reasons that
help the passage/author reach that conclusion.
If you get confused while identifying a conclusion use the "why" technique?

In this example,

We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.
"Why" do you need to curtail usage - Bcos there is no space for new power plants.
why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments - Bcos,we need to curtail usage.


Because they are able to answer your "why",they would be the conclusion and not the premise

Now,lets look at the first statement,
Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases.

Now lets apply the "why" question?

Why the Demand for electricity had been increasing?- No idea - no info given in the passage
Why there is there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases-No idea - no info given in the passage
Since they are just facts / reasons themselves,they fail the "why" test and hence they are premise.


I have generalised this for you to keep it simple.A passage can have multiple premises and even multiple conclusions but that is something you will
learn once youstart getting the premises and conclusions right.

In short,the premises are the stepping stones that lay the foundation for the conclusion.

Hope this helps

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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

(A) Existing power plants do not have the capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
(B) No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
(C) Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
(D) Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
(E) City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.

Type: Assumption
Boil It Down: Ordinance -> Reduce consumption to meet demand increase
Missing Information: There is capacity for such a cut. There is no alternative way to obtain the necessary capacity for the increase.
Goal: Find the option that has to be true for the logic of the argument to work.

Yes, it has to be true that existing plants don't have sufficient capacity because if they did then this whole proposal is proven worthless.

Whether city departments have instituted electricity curtailing is totally irrelevant to the argument that this ordinance could save even more.

Whether there are negative economic consequences is irrelevant. Even if this plan resulted in negative consequences, it could still help achieve the ultimate conservation goals. That wouldn't disprove the merits of the plan, so this option is not required for the argument to hold.

Whether consumers are to blame for the increases is irrelevant to the likelihood of success of the plan for governments to trim usage to help cut energy consumption.

The argument also does not rest on the idea that these city departments will serve as a role model. Maybe they will, maybe they won't but that is just ot required by the council member's proposal.
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OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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The correct answer is A
This argument commits the
Fallacy of False Dichotomy, also known as False Dilemma:
-
which assumes that there are only and only 2 options for the problem in question and any other options to solve the problem simply do not exist.
This is most common fallacy of presumption and can be rectified by showing that more than 2 solutions exists for the problem.

IN THIS QUESTION:- City council Member believes that that there are only 2 options to be exercised when facing an increase in the demand for electricity. The argument assumes that to cope with the increasing demand:-
1) Build new electricity Plants (FIRST SOLUTION TO THE PROBLEM)
2) Reduce the consumption (SECOND SOLUTION TO THE PROBLEM)

WHAT IF THERE IS A THIRD SOLUTION TO THIS PROBLEM.

For Example- The current electricity plant is working at only 50 % capacity. Then we can easily increase its capacity to 60 %. This increased output of electricity can easily meet the increase in demand. Bamm !! the argument is destroyed.

OPTION A STATES THIS FACT PERFECTLY.
The members wrongly assumes:-Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.



thanhmaitran wrote:
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.

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Last edited by LogicGuru1 on 26 Apr 2017, 08:37, edited 3 times in total.

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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.[/quote]

Conclusion: We must therefore begin to curtail usage [because] there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases.

It is quite logical that existing power plants did not have capacity to meet demand increases but argument says nothing about it so we need to state this fact.

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
Correct. Negation test destroy the conclusion of argument: "Existing power plants do have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity." If they have capacity then we do need to curtail usage.

B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
Incorrect. Whether or not some departments already implement these measures does not cancel needness to curtail the usage.

C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so economic consequences are out of scope.

D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
Incorrect. We should think only about conclusion and need to curtail usage so who exactly create this increase demand is out of scope

E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.[/quote]
Incorrect. This fact does not impact the conclusion about needness to curtail energy usage.

Hi,

Could you please provide your more detail analysis for option D?

here if residential customer are responsible for electricity consumption then how does it make sense to give ordinance for all city departments.


Please clarify.

Thanks[/quote]

Hello PathFinder007
The main point of this question is what we need to curtail current consumption because we don't have space for new power plants.

But what if current power plants can easily provide electricity for next 200 years of such regular increases of consumption?
We don't have space for building new power plants but we don't need to build them.

In such case, this conclusion about curtailing is wrong.

Information about who makes this increase in consumption does not have relation to the conclusion.[/quote]


I too got it wrong. It was initially tough to chose between A) and D).
I guess negation of both does not make it any clear

Negation of A) Existing plants have the capacity to meet the rising power requirements (Hence no need for additional power plants, no need to curtail power by reducing the govt building power usage)

Negation of D) Residents are responsible for the rise in power consumption (Hence curtailing the power usage of govt buildings will not help).

Now Lets take a calculative approach :

Total power consumption = 100 GWatts
Residents = 75 GW -----> projected to increase by 1.5 % yearly
Govt = 20 GW
others = 5 GW
TOtal capacity of the power plants = 100 GW

SO next year it will increase by approx 1 GW
Reduce Govt power usage by 10 GW -----> this will help avoid the need to build a new power plant for atleast 9 yrs (approx)
does not necessarily breakdown the conclusion (or the govt plans) even if the residents are the major consumers.

BUT what if :
Total power consumption = 100 GWatts
Residents = 75 GW -----> projected to increase by 1.5 % yearly
Govt = 20 GW
others = 5 GW
TOtal capacity of the power plants = 200 GW

The plant is good for a long time to come. Since its only at half its capacity (no need for govt plan) ----> completely works (Our answer must be A)
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 29 Aug 2016, 07:52
In this question, I mistook the conclusion to be "I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments." because "We must therefore begin to curtail usage". I didn't take "We must therefore begin to curtail usage" as the conclusion, hence I was confused between B and D. How does one fin conclusion in such passages?
Regards,
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 29 Aug 2016, 15:12
abhibad wrote:
In this question, I mistook the conclusion to be "I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments." because "We must therefore begin to curtail usage". I didn't take "We must therefore begin to curtail usage" as the conclusion, hence I was confused between B and D. How does one fin conclusion in such passages?
Regards,
Abhijit

Hi Abhijit,

I'd be happy to help. Think about it like this:

What action does this person ultimately want?

The conclusion is the thing or action that the author/arguer ultimately wants. When you look at it that way, you can elevate beyond just scanning for keywords, etc. to quickly and accurately detect the conclusion of an argument.
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 23 Sep 2016, 15:04
abhibad wrote:
In this question, I mistook the conclusion to be "I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments." because "We must therefore begin to curtail usage". I didn't take "We must therefore begin to curtail usage" as the conclusion, hence I was confused between B and D. How does one fin conclusion in such passages?
Regards,
Abhijit


Maybe you did not understand that it required an "assumption", or an "unstated premise"... something in between the lines.

Ask yourself "if the city mayor wants to cut the usage of public buildings" AT LEAST he believes that the problem is real and nothing can be done to get rid of it.

Now why he believes in that considering that the offer won't cover the demand (premise 1 and premise 2)?

Because there is no room for further production.

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Electricity usage in cities [#permalink]

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New post 10 Jul 2017, 19:11
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member’s proposal assumes which of the following?
A. Existing power plants do not have the capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.

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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 10 Jul 2017, 21:38
through excessive practices, test takers can choose A right after completely reading the option.

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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 15 Sep 2017, 03:38
Clearly A is the Answer.
If existing power plant can handle the demand then it is enough to supply 1.5% demand increase
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity [#permalink]

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New post 18 Oct 2017, 07:56
thanhmaitran wrote:
City council member: Demand for electricity has been increasing by 1.5 percent a year, and there simply is no more space to build additional power plants to meet future demand increases. We must therefore begin to curtail usage, which is why I propose passing ordinances requiring energy-conservation measures in all city departments.

The city council member's proposal assumes which of the following?

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.


Because this is an assumption question, we tried to negate the answer choices :

A. Existing power plants do not have capacity to handle all of the projected increase in demand for electricity.
If they HAVE CAPACITY, so why we need to curtail usage? Break the conclusion : the answer.

B. No city departments have implemented energy-conservation measures voluntarily.
If only one or two departments have implemented voluntary, it is still valid to pass ordinances. Wrong.

C. Passing ordinances designed to curtail electricity usage will not have negative economic consequences for the city.
Even if ordinances HAVE NEGATIVE economic consequences, we are not talking about "ECONOMIC" thing here. Wrong.

D. Residential consumers are not responsible for the recent increases in demand for electricity.
If residential consumers ARE RESPONSIBLE, we even can still pass ordinances. Wrong.

E. City departments that successfully conserve energy will set a good example for residential and industrial consumers of electricity.
Simply irrelevant.
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Re: OG 2016 - Demand for electricity   [#permalink] 18 Oct 2017, 07:56
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