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In 1984, almost 2 percent of humans who were admitted to hospital emergency rooms after suffering a scorpion bite in the southwestern United States died from the attack. Ten years later, this figure had jumped to 4 percent. Clearly, the venom of the scorpion has become much more toxic to humans.

Which of the following statements, if true, most seriously weakens the above conclusion?

Conclusion: Let's search the other reason people are dying.

(A) The scorpion population in the southwestern United States has remained steady since 1984. -> We are talking about death of people, The scorpion population is not our concern. Irrelevant.

(B) There have been few innovations in the treatment of scorpion bites since 1984. -> It means, people will die more due to scorpions' bite. It will strengthen the argument. Incorrect.

(C) Most people who suffer scorpion bites are inexperienced hikers who are unaware of the best methods to avoid coming in contact with a scorpion. -> It is not giving us another reason for increase in people death. Irrelevant.

(D) Since 1984, people have learned that scorpion bites can be treated in the home as long as they are detected early. -> More people are being treated in the home, this may lead to increase in % death. So, we can say, Increasing home treatment is the reason for increase in death. Let's keep it.

(E) People who survive one scorpion bite have a better than average chance of surviving a second bite. -> Again, this won't give us the reason for people death. Incorrect.

So, I think D. :)
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I marked C

because it maybe possible that more inexpereince hikers come in contact and this lead to increase of emergency admits

I rejected D: because it streenghten to me
-if it can be treated at home then there must be some serious problem that they still came to emergency

lets see final answer.

Hope to hear from moderators.

Thanks!
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Bunuel: please post official explanation

IanStewart : kindly comment why not C . Is D not strengthening?

Thanks
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mSKR

IanStewart : kindly comment why not C . Is D not strengthening?

To weaken the argument, we need some other reason the figure might have changed between 1984 and 1994. Answer D is the only answer that suggests anything has changed between 1984 and 1994, so it's the only answer that has any chance of being right -- we don't actually even need to think about why. But we can imagine why it could be right: maybe in 1994 many people try treating their scorpion bites at home, do a bad job of it, and end up in hospital too late. Or, and this is presumably the explanation the OA will provide, maybe the mild scorpion bites are the ones people treat at home (that's what D suggests when it talks about early detection), and in 1994 a greater proportion of the hospital cases are the late-detected serious cases. In either of those scenarios, scorpion venom is no more dangerous than before, but we'd expect those admitted to hospital to suffer serious consequences more often in 1994 than in 1984.
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mSKR

IanStewart : kindly comment why not C . Is D not strengthening?

To weaken the argument, we need some other reason the figure might have changed between 1984 and 1994. Answer D is the only answer that suggests anything has changed between 1984 and 1994, so it's the only answer that has any chance of being right -- we don't actually even need to think about why. But we can imagine why it could be right: maybe in 1994 many people try treating their scorpion bites at home, do a bad job of it, and end up in hospital too late. Or, and this is presumably the explanation the OA will provide, maybe the mild scorpion bites are the ones people treat at home (that's what D suggests when it talks about early detection), and in 1994 a greater proportion of the hospital cases are the late-detected serious cases. In either of those scenarios, scorpion venom is no more dangerous than before, but we'd expect those admitted to hospital to suffer serious consequences more often in 1994 than in 1984.

Hi Expert

I rejected choice D on the grounds that it does not provide any distinction between the 1984's cases and the 1994's cases since it says: "since 1984"

I correctly assumed that a weakener could be one that point out that lower # of people get into the hospital, but how choice D can helps us? If already in 1984 was present that circumstance, it does not provide us any new information in my opinion (since this phenomenon has already take place in 1984).

Regards.
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Gio96

I rejected choice D on the grounds that it does not provide any distinction between the 1984's cases and the 1994's cases since it says: "since 1984"

I correctly assumed that a weakener could be one that point out that lower # of people get into the hospital, but how choice D can helps us? If already in 1984 was present that circumstance, it does not provide us any new information in my opinion (since this phenomenon has already take place in 1984).

The word "since" has a few definitions, but I think you may not be interpreting it the way the question intends. The first definition of "since" in the dictionary I checked (just the Google one) reads "in the intervening period between (the time mentioned) and the time under consideration, typically the present", and that's the meaning here: answer D talks about what has happened in the time between 1984 and now. I have the impression that you thought D described a situation that was already true in 1984, but that's not what "since" means here.
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Gio96

I rejected choice D on the grounds that it does not provide any distinction between the 1984's cases and the 1994's cases since it says: "since 1984"

I correctly assumed that a weakener could be one that point out that lower # of people get into the hospital, but how choice D can helps us? If already in 1984 was present that circumstance, it does not provide us any new information in my opinion (since this phenomenon has already take place in 1984).

The word "since" has a few definitions, but I think you may not be interpreting it the way the question intends. The first definition of "since" in the dictionary I checked (just the Google one) reads "in the intervening period between (the time mentioned) and the time under consideration, typically the present", and that's the meaning here: answer D talks about what has happened in the time between 1984 and now. I have the impression that you thought D described a situation that was already true in 1984, but that's not what "since" means here.

Hi, thank you for you reply

If as you mentioned answer D talks about what has happened in the time between 1984 and now, should we not consider 1984 is our analysis? Or in other words we can consider since similar to the constraint in Quant (such as the integers between 18 and 20 we should not consider 18 and 20 but only 19)?

Regards.
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Gio96

Hi, thank you for you reply

If as you mentioned answer D talks about what has happened in the time between 1984 and now, should we not consider 1984 is our analysis? Or in other words we can consider since similar to the constraint in Quant (such as the integers between 18 and 20 we should not consider 18 and 20 but only 19)?

The phrase "since 1984" means "between 1984 and now", and the word "between" has the same meaning in Quant and in everyday use. If I say "there are three houses between my house and your house", then I'm really talking about five houses -- yours, mine, and the three in between. The "three houses" does not include my house and your house. So the phrase "since 1984" in this question should be read to mean "after 1984".

All of that said, this is a prep company question, and it isn't usually worth the effort to try to decode the language in prep company questions, because prep companies tend not to be very careful with language. I can't be completely certain, but I doubt this particular issue with "since" or "between" will ever be relevant in a real GMAT CR question.
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IanStewart
why not E,

techinally then the venom is not stronger its just that the ones who are first bit are more vulnerable.
IanStewart
Gio96

Hi, thank you for you reply

If as you mentioned answer D talks about what has happened in the time between 1984 and now, should we not consider 1984 is our analysis? Or in other words we can consider since similar to the constraint in Quant (such as the integers between 18 and 20 we should not consider 18 and 20 but only 19)?

The phrase "since 1984" means "between 1984 and now", and the word "between" has the same meaning in Quant and in everyday use. If I say "there are three houses between my house and your house", then I'm really talking about five houses -- yours, mine, and the three in between. The "three houses" does not include my house and your house. So the phrase "since 1984" in this question should be read to mean "after 1984".

All of that said, this is a prep company question, and it isn't usually worth the effort to try to decode the language in prep company questions, because prep companies tend not to be very careful with language. I can't be completely certain, but I doubt this particular issue with "since" or "between" will ever be relevant in a real GMAT CR question.
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