Bunuel
Last year, 10 percent of doctors younger than 30 and 7 percent of doctors between the ages of 30 and 35, practicing in Darrenville, made at least one avoidable error during a medical procedure. On the other hand, only 2 percent of doctors 60 and older made such an error. These findings make it clear that the advanced experience and learned propensity for caution possessed by doctors in the 60 and older group make them far more reliable than younger doctors are.
Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?
(A) The difference between the error rate of doctors under 30 and of those between 30 and 35 can be attributed to the higher level of medical experience possessed by the older doctors.
(B) Doctors 60 years and above do not make up a meaningfully larger fraction of physicians in Darrenville than doctors between the ages of 30 and 35 do.
(C) Doctors 60 years and above are less likely than are doctors 35 and younger to perform medical procedures under circumstances that significantly heighten the risk of errors.
(D) Doctors 60 years and above, on average, do not, treat a considerably lower number of patients per year than doctors 35 and younger do.
(E) For no age bracket is the error rate lower than it is for doctors 60 and older.
Let's go through the argument first.
Sentence 1: 10% of < 30-year-old doctors and 7% of 30-35-year-old doctors made an avoidable mistake.
Sentence 2: 2% of doctors over 60 made a mistake.
Sentence 3: Conclusion - older doctors are more reliable than younger doctors.
We're looking for an answer choice that this argument depends on. In other words, we're looking for something that, without, this argument falls apart.
Let's get started.
Option A: 30 or less is being compared to 30-35 here, which is not what the conclusion is discussing. Irrelevant, eliminate.
Option B: Let's test with some numbers. Say there's 1,000 60+ doctors, 2% of which means they made 20 mistakes collectively. Now lets say there's 100 30-35 & 100 <30 doctors, who made 17 mistakes collectively. This would mean older doctors actually make more mistakes in total than younger doctors, which would break the argument. Let's hold onto this one.
Option C: If older doctors perform less risky medical procedures than younger doctors, that would indeed cause them to make less mistakes. However, this doesn't form the assumption of this argument - while it would
explain the discrepancy, but it does not
identify the assumption.
Option D: Let's say <35 doctors treat 1000 patients, 60+ doctors treat 100 patients. Assuming 50/50 for the two younger age groups, they will make 85 mistakes, and the older doctors will make two mistakes. This corresponds well with the argument, and if this was untrue, it wouldn't have much of an effect on the argument, because the numbers go along with what's already stated in the argument. In essence, if this option breaks, it does not break the argument.
Option E: Older doctors being the lowest error rate overall is a nice fact, but even without it, the argument remains intact.
Option B is the only option that, without, the argument can't survive and is the answer.