PriyankaPalit7
3. During the post-Civil War, pre-World War I period, if the railroad business was declining it could be expected that:
A. Investment banking would decline
B. Land values would decline
C. Production at the Pullman Company would decline
D. U.S. savings would decline
E. Car production would increase
I understand that the passage mentions the following
“The Pullman Company, in 1909, was the eighth largest firm in the nation in terms of assets, and practically all of its output went to American railroads.” .
This means that all of the Pullman Company's output goes to American Railroads. But this does not necessarily mean that American Railroads constituted only of Pullman Company's output. Many more companies (Eg. Westinghouse Air Brake Company) could direct their output towards American Railroads.
So, how can we infer that if the railroad business was declining, production of Pullman Company's production was most probably declining too?
It is quite possible that Pullman company's production remained constant while the output of other contributing companies decreased?
This is a COULD BE TRUE ( could be expected) question. I believe that any option Could be True unless it is proved False by the contents of the passage. Following this logic, any of the options could be true because none are proved false by the passage.
GMATNinja VeritasKarishma I request your reply here. Thanks in advance !
This is not a "could be true" question. It is "can be expected" question. To be more precise, which option can be expected to be true (as per the passage). The passage would give us some information which would direct us to believe that the answer would be true.
The post civil war pre world war period is discussed in third paragraph. At the same place, they mention that Railroads were the only client of Pullman. Logically, if your only client experiences a dip in business, it is expected that you will feel the brunt too. So it can be expected that Pullman would see a decline in production. It is not necessary but it is expected.
None of the other options are strong enough.
A. Investment banking would decline
It plays a role at the set up phase of railroads. We don't know how it will get affected later. Also, investment banking may have had many clients.
B. Land values would decline
We know that land values of some places went up due to railroad construction. Will the slowdown in business bring general land values down, cannot say.
D. U.S. savings would decline
No logic to say that.
E. Car production would increase
No logic to say that.