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Bunuel
Which of the following best completes the passage below?

The movie production company's estimate of financial losses due to the illegal download of movies cannot be correct, because it's a measure of the wrong phenomenon. Most of illegal downloading of movies is done exclusively by people who have a passing interest in the movies but no intention of buying them, as he appears to assume. Thus, the loss to the industry is


A. nothing but harmless downloading done because the files are free

B. better measured in terms of rentals than purchases

C. smaller than his estimate

D. actually equal to the total market value of those downloaded copies times the number of people actually interested in buying them

E. actually equal to the difference between this year's sales and a particular previous year's sales, adjusted for inflation

OFFICIAL EXPLANATION:



Reading the question: We have a question of logical continuation: we will complete the passage. Therefore, we'll predict something before checking out the answers.

Creating a filter: We learn from the prompt that movie pirates generally have no real interest in the movies... thus, the loss to the industry is "less than it would appear, because only a fraction of the apparent losses represent what would have been purchases." Not a pretty wording in our prediction there, but that's of no consequence.

Applying the filter: What prompts match? Choice (C) does. Choice (D) is related to what we said, though it's hyper-specific. Choice (D) also misses how the estimate in question is wrong--it doesn't even mention whether it's high or low, the critical piece of the picture.

The correct answer is (C).
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Bunuel

D. actually equal to the total market value of those downloaded copies times the number of people actually interested in buying them

OFFICIAL EXPLANATION:



Choice (D) is related to what we said, though it's hyper-specific. Choice (D) also misses how the estimate in question is wrong--it doesn't even mention whether it's high or low, the critical piece of the picture.

The "Official Explanation" of answer D doesn't seem to understand what D says. Say a million people download a movie that would ordinarily cost $10. Then presumably "the total market value of those downloaded copies" is $10 million. If only 100,000 of those people were actually interested in buying the movie, answer D suggests we should multiply $10 million by 100,000 to estimate the production company's losses. So in this example, answer D would have us estimate a $1 trillion loss to the movie company. Answer D is wrong not because it's "hyper-specific"; it's wrong because it proposes an estimation method that is completely bonkers. Answer D would be a good answer if it suggested multiplying the value of just one downloaded file by the number of people who would have bought the file.
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­IanStewart even if we multiply as you say so wont it be wrong?  as the estimate we don't know ticket price vs the CD price as to compare the losses?
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"as he appears to assume" made me think that the production companies estimation of financial loss has assumed that :-
Most of illegal downloading of movies is done exclusively by people who have a passing interest in the movies but no intention of buying them

Given they made this assumption, their model of loss estimation, would have given a rather rational output

This made me eliminate "C"
"D & E" anyways are bonkers and "A" looks like a weak conclusion given the premise tree.

went with B here since it was the only option left.
Let me know your thoughts
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