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What Are My Chances - Profile Evaluation Tool!

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What Are My Chances - Profile Evaluation Tool!  [#permalink]

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New post Updated on: 24 Dec 2019, 21:36
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What Are My Chances - Evaluate Your Profile!

Use this tool to estimate/evaluate your chances of admission into one of the Top 25 MBA programs
The accuracy of this tool depends on the accuracy of your entries/answers - please see below for explanations of some of them
Make sure to expand the Advanced Options to get the best accuracy





Inputs & Choices Overview:


Background: based on your own judgement, how do you think your background will be perceived by the admissions committee? There are differentiators that make one's profile more or less diverse. For example an Indian male engineer is likely highly over-represented whereas a New Zealand Engineer is likely under-represented and a Military Applicant with Special Forces designation is likely under-represented or Unique in their background. Examples:
  • Heavily over-represented: Indian IT Males
  • Somewhat over-represented: Indian non IT applicants and SE Asian Applicants
  • Average Representation: US and EU Applicants
  • Under-represented: South America, Oceania, or African applicants, US Military Applicants
  • Unique: you know who you are ;-) e.g. Syrian refugees, Tibetans, Spec Ops Operators, Athletes, Performers, and other people with unique background, history, or work experience.



Undergrad Prestige in Your Country: - are there regular applicants to the MBA programs of your choice from your Undergraduate institution?


Age: This is age at the time of matriculation


Work Experience: This is your work experience at the time of matriculation


Reapplicant: If you are a reapplicant with a significant change in your application such as a difference of GMAT score that's 40 points or more AND additional changes such as using help with admissions or meaningful promotion in this application season, please select NO


How does it work?
There is a short and a long version of the tool. You could technically fill out just the GMAT/Background information. In that case, the tool assumes AVERAGE values for all other answers. To get the most precise answers/estimates, please answer every question. We have been working for a few years on a project that has been a brain-child of souvik101990 and I am glad we are finally at the stage that we can release and share it. Please give it a try and share what you think - appreciate any comments/feedback.


What do you think about this tool?
How can we improve?
What is done well?


Does it work for PT, EMBA, Weekend MBA?
Not yet. This tool only works for FT MBA Admissions.


Is this tool Perfect?
Ha. No. It is based on historical data but it is not perfect for every case. This is likely a case that explains the 80% of data and then has 20% outliers.
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Originally posted by bb on 04 Nov 2019, 09:57.
Last edited by bb on 24 Dec 2019, 21:36, edited 9 times in total.
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Re: What Are My Chances - Profile Evaluation Tool!  [#permalink]

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New post 04 Nov 2019, 11:25
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Amazing! wish it expands to more schools and programs and include GRE score too. Thank you so much. this just eases out a lot of things for a lot of people
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New post 04 Nov 2019, 11:08
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Fantastic initiative!!
A great product rollout by souvik101990
Also, please give a pat on the backs of developers on my behalf.

"Evaluate my Profile" thread is on the path of becoming automated now.

Reminds me of a great quote by an ace VC Marc Andreessen (a16z) - "Whatever can become a software, will become a software"!
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New post 05 Nov 2019, 09:06
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Thank you for the feedback!


P.S. I heard from a few current students who mentioned that we have been harshly grading their chances (we gave them below average chances) and we are looking at adjusting some of the variables to improve accuracy, which potentially will make some folks chances slightly better. We will be tweaking accuracy over time to dial it better.

If you are a current student or someone who got admits from past seasons, please give it a whirl, and let me know your thoughts/feedback!
Thanks!
BB.
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New post 07 Nov 2019, 10:21
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I experienced this as well, looks like a glitch bb. (At least I'd hope it is, so I could see my chances improving :lol: )

JTdaniel wrote:
bb I tried playing around with the tool (great idea btw!), and found that no matter what I select under 'Applications and Essays', the score doesn't change from "low". Is this a glitch?

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New post 05 Nov 2019, 02:01
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bb souvik101990
Awesome work!! Must have taken loooaaddds of work but kudos to your ingenuity!! :)

I liked: It was no-hassle, no redirecting me anywhere, no hanging, easy-to-use for our users and also has the option to display for ALL-SCHOOLS as well. I guess a lot of thought already went into the use-case analysis. I will think of some suggestions as and when I get an idea.

I wished: Much of the user pool will love to get insights into the data and chances for other Top 25+ schools. I am sure this will be a work-in-progress and I am open to help if there is something!

Cheers again!!!

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Re: What Are My Chances - Profile Evaluation Tool!  [#permalink]

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New post 06 Nov 2019, 13:43
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Great tool. Wish I had this at the start of my application process. A few comments.

1) Can you provide a little more clarity on how background is defined? I would assume you mean ethnicity, but industry also plays a part I think.

2) I also think adding something for GPA would be helpful. As I think they showed high GPA + high GMAT adds to your chances of receiving an interview.

3) For the school portion, are you counting the specific college within the university, or the ranking of the university as a whole? AKA some school might be top 50, but their undergrad business is top 10.

4) Age bracket wise is it based on date of matriculation or date of application.

5) I personally don't mind having the grading be harsher as giving false hope is not good also. This is a "rough" outline on your chances, there is so much more to you as a candidate that could greatly affect your chances.
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New post 13 Nov 2019, 08:26
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I have been wondering about this for a while now. I was born in Bangladesh (SE Asia) but I immigrated to the US when I was 14. As far as background, which bucket am I in? I can see landing in the over-represented bucket but I do think I have some unique characteristics. I went to one of the worst high schools in inner city Chicago. I had a ACT score in the 20th percentile. Most of my high school mates never went to college. I didn't have parents to provide any guidance. Whatever I did, I did mostly on my own.

Today, I am a 31 year old CPA at a fortune 50 company with multiple promotions. And within days, I hope to have a 690-750 GMAT score. Am I over-represented or am I in fact in the underrepresented bucket.
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New post 22 Nov 2019, 23:26
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Hi and thanks for your question. There is value in having a diverse background as a degree but how is your work experience? Were you a biologist? The fact that your grandpa was not Indian is also pretty remote :-) sorry.

You will be considered an American applicant and somewhat normal.

I think you have fantastic accomplishments and other things going for you. Your strengths will come out on your resume and your essays.

You have a strong profile but not sure it can be called unique.

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New post 27 Nov 2019, 07:44
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Great tool!
However when I change from "Average" to " Underrepresented" my chances decrease slightly.
The same happens when I go from Average ECs to Strong ECs...
Is that expected?
Found it to be a little weird.
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New post 27 Nov 2019, 08:09
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mcalbuquerque wrote:
Great tool!
However when I change from "Average" to " Underrepresented" my chances decrease slightly.
The same happens when I go from Average ECs to Strong ECs...
Is that expected?
Found it to be a little weird.



That is VERY weird!
Thank you for reporting this. We will be playing more with the system. Thank you!
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New post 05 Nov 2019, 09:11
bb wrote:
Thank you for the feedback!


P.S. I heard from a few current students who mentioned that we have been harshly grading their chances (we gave them below average chances) and we are looking at adjusting some of the variables to improve accuracy, which potentially will make some folks chances slightly better. We will be tweaking accuracy over time to dial it better.

If you are a current student or someone who got admits from past seasons, please give it a whirl, and let me know your thoughts/feedback!
Thanks!
BB.


I got 0 colleges for Above Average chances. But that's Okay I guess. I am an Indian IT Male :lol:
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New post 06 Nov 2019, 03:15
Very interesting tool - would be great if there's atleast a drop-down for previous industry experience. That would also allow the algorithm to consider it while narrowing down colleges based on past preference / average admits under each industry.

Good work guys! :)
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New post 06 Nov 2019, 08:32
My previous 2 employers were large IT giants with many B-school alums, but the current one (I just completed one year here) is a niche tech consulting firm (so consider no b-school alums). Which option is applicable for me in the 'Your Company' drop down list?
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New post 06 Nov 2019, 09:23
MariaAntony wrote:
My previous 2 employers were large IT giants with many B-school alums, but the current one (I just completed one year here) is a niche tech consulting firm (so consider no b-school alums). Which option is applicable for me in the 'Your Company' drop down list?


I think that's similar to have been working at Google and then leaving for a small startup. It is clear to the AdCom that you would not have left if it was not a better opportunity or better company. Thus the brand name of the former employer does help to off-set an unknown company that's last on your resume. Same could be if you have worked for 5 years in an uknown company and then joined a big an well-known firm very recently.
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New post 06 Nov 2019, 22:23
MG1902 wrote:
Very interesting tool - would be great if there's atleast a drop-down for previous industry experience. That would also allow the algorithm to consider it while narrowing down colleges based on past preference / average admits under each industry.

Good work guys! :)


Honestly, I am not sure how we would be adding a lot of value by considering the industry... maybe. My thought is that 70% of applicants change their industry upon graduation and it probably does not matter if one worked in IT, Construction, or Military - they can all end up in consulting. Your industry would come in from your background (are there a lot of people from your industry applying or are you unique?).

You can look at the decision tracker and filters however, where people do indicate their background and industry where they are coming from. Just try to filter past years or the past few years - https://gmatclub.com/forum/decision-tracker.html
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New post 07 Nov 2019, 01:53
bb I tried playing around with the tool (great idea btw!), and found that no matter what I select under 'Applications and Essays', the score doesn't change from "low". Is this a glitch?
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New post 07 Nov 2019, 04:42
This is an amazing and a really helpful tool, bb! Great job!

Just wanted to understand whether the work experience and age is at the time of matriculation or at the time of application. Thanks!
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New post 07 Nov 2019, 09:38
mittalbwoy wrote:
This is an amazing and a really helpful tool, bb! Great job!

Just wanted to understand whether the work experience and age is at the time of matriculation or at the time of application. Thanks!


Thank you for the question. The age and work experience are at matriculation. That's how applications consider it and how they report their student body incoming stats (GMAT, GPA, Age at matriculation, work experience at matriculation)
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Re: What Are My Chances - Profile Evaluation Tool!  [#permalink]

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New post 07 Nov 2019, 09:55
Thank you for your questions and points. I have replied below in-line.

xprometheusx wrote:
Great tool. Wish I had this at the start of my application process. A few comments.

1) Can you provide a little more clarity on how background is defined? I would assume you mean ethnicity, but industry also plays a part I think.


This is really "competitiveness" - it is how over/under represented AdCom will consider you when you apply. E.g. if you are a white male banker from London, you are probably over-represented for LBS but under-represented in Kellogg for example. This depends on both your ethnicity/background but also work experience (E.g. Indian IT is a good example here for over-competitive pool that has 2 strikes against it)

Quote:
2) I also think adding something for GPA would be helpful. As I think they showed high GPA + high GMAT adds to your chances of receiving an interview.

We have considered this but decided not to for 2 main reasons: 1) GPA in the US, Europe, and Asia are reported on diff scales that are sometimes impossible to reconcile. 2) Even in the US, we found that GPA from a small state school and a school like Yale may not be comparable either unless you can say how you performed compared to your classmates, which is what we have chosen.

Quote:
3) For the school portion, are you counting the specific college within the university, or the ranking of the university as a whole? AKA some school might be top 50, but their undergrad business is top 10.


This is looking from the lens of the AdCom - e.g. first of all - is this a well known undergrad school that has a number of applicants to the BSchool? If yes, is this the "easier-to-get-into" college within the university or more competitive one? Obviously it won't matter if the answer to the first question is a "no" where AdCom knows little about the university in general but if the answer is Yes, you can definitely put Top 10 for the specific major/college.

Quote:
4) Age bracket wise is it based on date of matriculation or date of application.

Thank you. This is matriculation. I have added a clarification note into the first post.

Quote:
5) I personally don't mind having the grading be harsher as giving false hope is not good also. This is a "rough" outline on your chances, there is so much more to you as a candidate that could greatly affect your chances.


Thank you! I just did not want anyone to be frustrated or upset that we are being overly harsh. We will get nicer with time. I promise :angel:
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