Bunuel
In Country X, 17 percent of the adult population has outstanding student loans. Ten years ago, the figure was 10 percent. Thus, we can conclude that many more people in Country X have taken out student loans in the last ten years than did in the previous ten years.
Which of the following statements about Country X, if true, most strengthens the support for the above conclusion?
A. As the population has declined, the proportion of adults in the population has not changed.
B. In the last ten years, the average duration of a student loan has decreased from more than twelve years to five years.
C. The government provides student grants (money that is not to be repaid) much more liberally now than it did ten years ago.
D. The average size of a student loan has not decreased over the last ten years.
E. The average cost to attend an undergraduate education program has not decreased over the last ten years.
Target Test Prep Official Explanation:The correct answer to this question will add support for the conclusion “many more people in Country X have taken out student loans in the last ten years than did in the previous ten years.”
The support we have so far is that the percentage of the adult population that has outstanding student loans has increased. What information would help to confirm that the reason for this increase is that more people have taken out loans?
(A) As the population has declined, the proportion of adults in the population has not changed.The fact that the proportion of adults in the population has not changed as the population has declined weakens rather than strengthens the argument. After all, if the overall population has declined and the proportion of adults has not changed, then there are fewer adults in Country X than before. So, maybe fewer, rather than more, people have taken out student loans even though the percentage of adults that have loans has increased.
(B) In the last ten years, the average duration of a student loan has decreased from more than twelve years to five years.
Correct AnswerIf the average duration of a student loan has decreased, then we’d expect people to be paying off loans faster, and we’d expect the number of student loans outstanding to decrease. Instead, the proportion of people with outstanding loans has increased. So, something must be offsetting the decrease in duration.
Since one factor that could offset that decrease in duration would be an increase in the number of people taking out student loans, this choice gives us more reason to believe that it is in fact the case that more people have taken out student loans.
(C) The government provides student grants (money that is not to be repaid) much more liberally now than it did ten years ago.If anything, this choice would be a reason to believe that fewer people are taking out student loans. After all, the government giving out grants would result in a reduced need for taking out loans.
(D) The average size of a student loan has not decreased over the last ten years.If, as this choice says, the average size of a student loan has not decreased, then the average size has increased or remained the same. Thus, given what this choice says, it could be the case that the reason why there are more loans outstanding is that the average size has increased and that, therefore, people are taking longer to pay them off.
Since this choice leaves open the possibility that there is an alternative reason for the increase in the number of loans outstanding, it certainly does not strengthen the argument.
(E) The average cost to attend an undergraduate education program has not decreased over the last ten years.This choice does not have a clear effect on the argument. In any case, the fact that the cost to attend an undergraduate program has not decreased doesn’t indicate that more people have been taking out loans.
Answer: B