I think we have a solid sample size here of about 10 reporting silence out of 40...which leads me to believe the activity will happen tomorrow.
They make round 3 offers on the 13th (next week), so between now and then 'our 10' should go out.
Happy to summarize as well more formally. Informally, I think it goes something like this:
- post receiving round 3 applications, up through the gap between HBS round 2 deposit date and other schools deposit date (HBS was April 28, other schools 30th): biggest wave of 20
- post round 3 interview (may 4), pre round 3 notification (may 13): secondary wave of 10
- post round 3 deposit date (may 30): they assess who didn't yield, but likely very few spots given round 3. Maybe 2-4
- indefinite 'summer melt' as Dee calls it: people dropping until classes start for whatever reason, maybe another 1-3