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Which of the following most logically completes the argument?

United States manufacturers currently produce most of the world's solar-power generators—most of which are exported to Europe. However, European manufacturers are emerging and probably will ultimately capture much of the European market. The United States government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States. If these initiatives succeed in increasing the demand for solar-power generators in the United States, United States manufacturers will probably maintain significant production levels, since __________.

(E) the current market for solar-power generators in the United States is very limited


Let me explain why E is wrong.

Let me first start with a changed passage and a changed option E. Let's remove the "If part" of the last sentence of the passage and change option E as follows:

United States manufacturers currently produce most of the world's solar-power generators—most of which are exported to Europe. However, European manufacturers are emerging and probably will ultimately capture much of the European market. The United States government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States. United States manufacturers will probably maintain significant production levels, since __________.

E'. The current market for solar-power generators in the United States doesn't have much potential to grow.

What is the impact of the above option E'?

E' actually weakens the argument rather than strengthen it. If the current market doesn't have much potential to grow, the initiatives to encourage the use of solar power within the US may not succeed. As a result, US manufacturers may not be able to maintain significant production levels.

*************************
Now, let me reintroduce a modified "if" part in the last statement of the passage:

United States manufacturers currently produce most of the world's solar-power generators—most of which are exported to Europe. However, European manufacturers are emerging and probably will ultimately capture much of the European market. The United States government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States. If these initiatives succeed in significantly increasing the demand for solar-power generators in the United States, United States manufacturers will probably maintain significant production levels, since __________.

Now, what is the impact of option E' ?

Now, E' has no impact on the argument. Why? Because now, option E' just indicates that the "if" part is very unlikely to happen; E' doesn't impact the "if then" statement. Let me explain.

Let's say there is a statement "If you score 760 on the GMAT, you'll get into HBS."

Can you weaken this statement by saying that you're unlikely to score 760 on the GMAT?

No. Saying so will have no impact on the statement. The statement says that if X happens, Y will happen. What if X doesn't happen? That has no impact on the statement. The statement is weakened only if we say that even if X happens, Y may not happen.

Thus, E' will have no impact on this modified conclusion.

***********

Now, let's talk about the original passage:

United States manufacturers currently produce most of the world's solar-power generators—most of which are exported to Europe. However, European manufacturers are emerging and probably will ultimately capture much of the European market. The United States government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States. If these initiatives succeed in increasing the demand for solar-power generators in the United States, United States manufacturers will probably maintain significant production levels, since __________.

E'. The current market for solar-power generators in the United States doesn't have much potential to grow.

In this case, we can argue that E' is a slight weakener since it limits the upside of the increase in demand for solar power generators in the US. We can argue that even if the initiatives succeed in increasing the demand for solar-power generators in the United States, the increase may not be substantial, and thus, US manufacturers may not be able to maintain significant production levels.

********

Now, let's talk about the original passage and the original option E.

United States manufacturers currently produce most of the world's solar-power generators—most of which are exported to Europe. However, European manufacturers are emerging and probably will ultimately capture much of the European market. The United States government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States. If these initiatives succeed in increasing the demand for solar-power generators in the United States, United States manufacturers will probably maintain significant production levels, since __________.

(E) the current market for solar-power generators in the United States is very limited

As we have discussed above, whether the current market for solar-power generators has the potential to grow substantially has an impact on the argument. However, option E says that the current market is very limited. The problem is that whether a market is very limited or not very limited, it may or may not have the potential to grow. Even if a market is not very limited, it may still have significant potential to grow. Thus, option E has no impact on the argument.

Rather, one may also think that this option has a slight negative impact since if the current market is very limited, growing it may also not be able to compensate for the loss of the European market.
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Hi Ninja, I disagree. The funding initiatives can be naught if the current demand is already at max capacity.
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aidyn
Awesome explanation! Now everything makes sense. Thanks, GMATNinja!
Thank you for the kind words, aidyn! Glad we could help.

Quote:
(E) the current market for solar-power generators in the United States is very limited
DiyaDutta
Can someone help me eliminate E. Is it because even though there is a limited US market for solar power and the demand might help the US manufacturers, but European manufacturers might come and take that market from the US manufacturers in which case just having a limited market and increasing that is not helpful?
I think you are on the right track here. The current market for solar-powered generators in the US isn't that important. The US government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States. So regardless of the current demand, we expect US demand to increase.

Check out this explanation of the OA, if you haven't already.
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einstein801
Hi Ninja, I disagree. The funding initiatives can be naught if the current demand is already at max capacity.

DiyaDutta
Can someone help me eliminate E. Is it because even though there is a limited US market for solar power and the demand might help the US manufacturers, but European manufacturers might come and take that market from the US manufacturers in which case just having a limited market and increasing that is not helpful?

I think you are on the right track here. The current market for solar-powered generators in the US isn't that important. The US government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States. So regardless of the current demand, we expect US demand to increase.

Check out this explanation of the OA, if you haven't already.
If (E) said something like, "the current market for solar-power generators in the United States is NOT at max capacity" you might have a point.

But as written, choice (E) is irrelevant because the argument is based on a hypothetical situation: "IF these initiatives succeed in increasing the demand for solar-power generators in the United States...". We don't need to worry about WHETHER the funding initiatives will or will not succeed because, for this argument, we are assuming that they DO succeed.

I hope that helps!
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Hi Karishma, I chose D over C as I thought D is saying "European manufacturer will stay in Europe, they wouldn't export to US" so US will have an advanatge.
KarishmaB

There are 4 aspects here:
US manufacturers, US market, European manufacturers, European market

Currently, US manufacturers make and export to European market. (So supply is from US and demand is in Europe.)

Now European manufacturers are emerging and will likely capture European market. (So Europe will supply to Europe demand)

The US government is encouraging US market to increase demand.

If these initiatives succeed US manufacturers will probably maintain significant production levels, since...

The argument is saying that if demand in US increases, US manufacturers will likely maintain a good supply. Why? Why is it that like European market, US market will not satisfy its demand from Europe? If European manufacturers are emerging, it is possible that they not only capture European market but US market too if US market demand increases. We need to give a reason why this may not happen. A reason why US markets may prefer to buy from US manufacturers.

(A) some United States manufacturers have been substantially increasing their output over the last several years

Doesn’t tell us why they would need to keep production high.

(B) the efficiency of solar-power generators in converting energy from the Sun into electric power is not improving as fast as it once did

This is the same for all manufacturers. It doesn't say why US manufacturers will maintain their production levels. It doesn't say why if US demand increases, US manufacturers will likely satisfy it.
saman283 - We do not know how increase in efficiency affects demand. Does higher efficiency increase demand (more people want to buy) or lower demand (once bought, people don't need to buy again and again)?

(C) just as European manufacturers enjoy certain competitive advantages in Europe, so do United States manufacturers in the United States

Correct. This is why US manufacturers may be better able to satisfy demands of the US market.

(D) European governments are currently undertaking initiatives to stimulate the use of solar power within Europe

Irrelevant. European manufacturers are likely to capture European market - whatever its size.

(E) the current market for solar-power generators in the United States is very limited

That is already given. It doesn't help.

Answer (C)­
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Hi krrishabh96 let me try to help

United States manufacturers currently produce most of the world's solar-power generators—most of which are exported to Europe.- Lets say Total world solar power generators are 100, and the US produces 80 and exports 55 to Europe.

However, European manufacturers are emerging and probably will ultimately capture much of the European market.- Intermediate conclusion: European manufacturers are probably going to capture much of the European market; some parts are covered by the US

The United States government is funding initiatives intended to encourage use of solar power within the United States.- US govt is funding initiatives intended to encourage the solar power use in the US.

If these initiatives succeed in increasing the demand for solar-power generators in the United States, United States manufacturers will probably maintain significant production levels,- If the initiatives funded succeed in raising the solar power generators demand in US, US manufacturers will probably maintain the significant production levels...but why?

since __________.

here he have to find why the significant production will be maintained- If we will look at the argument, more than 50% of the US produced SPG are exported to europe, that means, to maintain that production levels demand has to be there in US, the initiative has to work, because after european manufactures starts selling in europe lets say 35 out of 55(exported by US as assumed) in europe, to cover this loss there has to be significant demand in US


(C) just as European manufacturers enjoy certain competitive advantages in Europe, so do United States manufacturers in the United States- Option C captures the same exact thinking

(D) European governments are currently undertaking initiatives to stimulate the use of solar power within Europe- We are not worried about the european market and what govt is doing there, we have been already given this in argument as IC which is also a premise, so Irrelevant

Hope this helps

krrishabh96
Hi Karishma, I chose D over C as I thought D is saying "European manufacturer will stay in Europe, they wouldn't export to US" so US will have an advanatge.

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