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Thank yu Mike :)

Official Explanation:



This is a statistical argument. The officials assert that there is in fact no increase in actual mishaps during the months after an accident, but an increase in the number of news sources reporting the mishaps— in other words, they argue that the statistics are not representative. To weaken this assertion, we would have to show that the statistics are in fact representative. (B) does this by implying that certain months are more likely to have more frequent accidents due to high volume of flights. Choice (A) is outside the scope of the argument. (C), (D), and (E) would all strengthen the assertions of the officials.
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GMATNinja mikemcgarry

please evaluate my reasoning regarding option C :

Whenever a major airplane accident occurs, there is a dramatic increase in the number of airplane mishaps reported in the media, a phenomenon that may last for as long as a few months after the accident. Airline officials assert that the publicity given the gruesomeness of major airplane accidents focuses media attention on the airline industry, and the increase in the number of reported accidents is caused by an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents, not by an increase in the number of accidents.

Understand : AM- airline mishaps , MA- media attention , NOAMR- no. of airpl mishaps reported

1) major AM ->inc. in NOAMR
2) cause 1 - actual increase in AM
3) author's cause - MA -> inc. in reporting
Con. -(3) is right and (2) is wrong

possible weakener : anything that tells us that (2) is indeed the cause

(C) Media organizations do not have any guidelines to help them decide how severe an accident must be for it to receive coverage.
- author reasons that the gruesomeness of a major mishap attracts the media attention and the media in such situation starts reporting other mishaps too , which " apparently" did not occur.
Whar option C says is media does not have any guidelines for it to decide what's severe(gruesome) and what isnt. SO if the media does not know the gruesomeness of the mishap, then the entire reasoning of author falls apart, as he basis his conclusion on the seriousness of mishap leading media to report other " not occured " mishaps. SO if (C) is true then meida is likely reporting the mishaps that may have occured during the same period.

Please tell me where I faltered.
mikemcgarry , please pardon me for your explanation has not helped me clear my fault in reasoning. Please evaluate my reasoning and temme where i faltered.
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AjiteshArun
I rejected B "Airline accidents tend to occur far more often during certain peak travel months." because I interpreted the meaning as since airline accidents tend to occur far more during certain peak travel months than there is no actual increase because in data of of the previous peak travel months the airline industry had that much of accident only.
What's wrong in my interpretation ?
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The second sentence really confused me. Is it written right?

Airline officials assert that the publicity given the gruesomeness of major airplane accidents focuses media attention on the airline industry, and the increase in the number of reported accidents is caused by an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents, not by an increase in the number of accidents.

Shouldn't it be:
Airline officials assert that the publicity given to the gruesomeness of major airplane accidents focuses media attention on the airline industry, and the increase in the number of reported accidents is caused by an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents, not by an increase in the number of accidents.
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Whenever a major airplane accident occurs, there is a dramatic increase in the number of airplane mishaps reported in the media, a phenomenon that may last for as long as a few months after the accident. Airline officials assert that the publicity given the gruesomeness of major airplane accidents focuses media attention on the airline industry, and the increase in the number of reported accidents is caused by an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents, not by an increase in the number of accidents.

Which of the following, if true, would seriously weaken the assertions of the airline officials?


A. The publicity surrounding airline accidents is largely limited to the country in which the crash occurred.

B. Airline accidents tend to occur far more often during certain peak travel months.

C. News organizations do not have any guidelines to help them decide how severe an accident must be for it to receive coverage.

D. Airplane accidents receive coverage by news sources only when the news sources find it advantageous to do so.

E. Studies by government regulations show that the number of airplane flight miles remains relatively constant from month to month.

The easiest and quickest way to get to right reasoning is to understand the premise .Here the argument is based on statistics .
The airline official claims that the reporters deliberately give false data once an accident happens and this data goes up in THAT DURATION (notice this time factor its imp)
While weakening we need to consider the fact that airline might be lying / hiding the facts /data /numbers .
AIM= we need to prove either the accidents are real and airline officer is lying or any other strong stmt that helps us weaken .

IF you are confused between B , C and D .

Please note the TIME factor /indicator is imp here attack that part .
Opt B = If media is reporting accidents then that event must be true .During peak travel month time the accidents happen for real.

Opt C = SUPPORTS the airline official - It says media doesn't know the difference and they don't have any guideline so the data they present is faulty and airline officer is telling truth .

Opt D = Here TIME factor hasn't been considered .We don't know WHY do they report large numbers in particular season time . Moreover , here we are supporting the airline officer that YES media reports over exaggerated numbers and as it gives them advantage so they try to report the number or every accident WHENEVER THEY GET CHANCE TO DO SO . But we are concerned with only peak TIMES .

TAKEAWAY =While reading the argument look out for timestamps / time indicator and use them to depend or support the argument . Such observations give us flow and we don't have to dependent on any technique . Don't let your brain tell you in exam hall that oops I forgot the technique .
THE ONLY TECHNIQUE IN CR is to focus on the flow of argument make notes of the details given and answer accordingly . PRACTICE ! :)
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tanvid
Whenever a major airplane accident occurs, there is a dramatic increase in the number of airplane mishaps reported in the media, a phenomenon that may last for as long as a few months after the accident. Airline officials assert that the publicity given the gruesomeness of major airplane accidents focuses media attention on the airline industry, and the increase in the number of reported accidents is caused by an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents, not by an increase in the number of accidents.

Which of the following, if true, would seriously weaken the assertions of the airline officials?


A. The publicity surrounding airline accidents is largely limited to the country in which the crash occurred.

B. Airline accidents tend to occur far more often during certain peak travel months.

C. News organizations do not have any guidelines to help them decide how severe an accident must be for it to receive coverage.

D. Airplane accidents receive coverage by news sources only when the news sources find it advantageous to do so.

E. Studies by government regulations show that the number of airplane flight miles remains relatively constant from month to month.


Main point: Increase in the number of reported accidents is caused by an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents, not by an increase in the number of accidents.
To weaken we can look for an answer choice that increases our belief that

    1)the increase in the number of reported accidents was not caused by the number of news sources
    2)the increase was caused by an actual increase in the number of accidents.


Choice A - no impact. No link between either (1) or (2). Original argument stands even if this option were true


B - Weakens. In line with (2). There is actually a time
when number of accidents are more than
other times. e.g Summer vacation
So could be that it was the #accidents not news

C - Strengthens. higher chance for a random
news source to pick up the accident and write about it

D - Strengthens. Indeed to gain TRP the news channels would jump onto the cases.

E - Slightly strengthens. Shows that
there are not as many accidents.
Presence of accidents would have shown up as difference in flight miles.
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Hi experts,

I have a question.

This question tests a casual argument.
The conclusion is in form that:
A cause B , not C cause B

where A = an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents
B = the increase in the number of reported accidents
C = an increase in the number of accidents.

My question is:
do we need to show that it's C (in the answer choice B) that cause B
Can we show that D causes B (if we had this choice replacing choice B) to weaken the argument instead?

Thank you very much.
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Main Point: Increased coverage by news outlets is the reason why more accidents are reported -- not the other way around.

Pre-thinking: What would weaken this argument? If more accidents were indeed the cause of the increased coverage.

A. Irrelevant -- we don't care about the country in which the crash occurred.

B. If airline accidents tend to occur far more often during peak travel months, then this would weaken the airline officials claim. More accidents occur due to higher volume. Keep this one.

C. That news organizations don't have any guidelines is not of any importance to the argument.

D. Even if this statement is true, it doesn't really weaken the argument. In fact, this could help the airline officials argument.

E. Doesn't weaken out argument. This choice tells us that total airline miles have been consistent.

IMO Answer is B.
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ballest127
Hi experts,

I have a question.

This question tests a casual argument.
The conclusion is in form that:
A cause B , not C cause B

where A = an increase in the number of news sources covering airline accidents
B = the increase in the number of reported accidents
C = an increase in the number of accidents.

My question is:
do we need to show that it's C (in the answer choice B) that cause B
Can we show that D causes B (if we had this choice replacing choice B) to weaken the argument instead?

Thank you very much.

I'm by no means an expert but I'll put in my two cents:

- There is a recent trend (increased number of airplane mishaps reported in media)
- Airline officials claim this is due to more coverage rather than more accidents

To weaken this argument, we need an answer choice that shows the increased coverage was due to more accidents. B is the only answer choice that fits.

To weaken this argument we need to show that more accidents did in fact occur.
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Pre-thinking -
publicity > leads to media attention
Increase in the number of sources reporting an accident (cause) (X) and not the actual increase of accidents > increase in number of reported accidents (effect) (Y).
X causes Y. In order to weaken, we need to find an alternate cause or show that Y happens before X or show Y causes X.



Which of the following, if true, would seriously weaken the assertions of the airline officials?


A. The publicity surrounding airline accidents is largely limited to the country in which the crash occurred. - publicity limited to the country or not - the conclusion stays intact. Distortion.

B. Airline accidents tend to occur far more often during certain peak travel months. - It shows that Y causes X. During the peak months, accidents occur more frequently, and that leads to the media getting into action. This reverses the causal relationship. Perfect.

C. News organizations do not have any guidelines to help them decide how severe an accident must be for it to receive coverage. - At best, it's a strengthener. If they don't have guidelines, they'll report everything for the sake of media coverage - aligned with the airline official's assertion.

D. Airplane accidents receive coverage by news sources only when the news sources find it advantageous to do so. - Strengthener. It perfectly aligns with the airline official's assertion. Wrong choice here.

E. Studies by government regulations show that the number of airplane flight miles remains relatively constant from month to month. - if the airplane miles remain constant from month to month, there is no reason for more accidents to occur at one time, unless more media sources start reporting the same incident. Strengthener.
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TommyWallach

C. News organizations do not have any guidelines to help them decide how severe an accident must be for it to receive coverage.
PROBLEM: This means that reportage might be a bit arbitrary, but like answer choice A, it doesn't change the facts. We want to know WHY reporting of accidents goes up. To say that there is no guideline to connect severity to newsworthiness does NOTHING to address the issue of why reportage goes up after a major accident.
GMATNinja MartyMurray Can you please help?

How would the news organisations know what is "major" if they do not have any guidelines to decide the severity. So the argument that news organisations ONLY report a lot of accidents after a severe accident cannot be true because news organisations cannot know what is severe.

What am I missing here? Please let me know.
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TommyWallach

C. News organizations do not have any guidelines to help them decide how severe an accident must be for it to receive coverage.
PROBLEM: This means that reportage might be a bit arbitrary, but like answer choice A, it doesn't change the facts. We want to know WHY reporting of accidents goes up. To say that there is no guideline to connect severity to newsworthiness does NOTHING to address the issue of why reportage goes up after a major accident.
GMATNinja MartyMurray Can you please help?

How would the news organisations know what is "major" if they do not have any guidelines to decide the severity. So the argument that news organisations ONLY report a lot of accidents after a severe accident cannot be true because news organisations cannot know what is severe.

What am I missing here? Please let me know.
Choice (C) does not actually say that news organizations don't have guidelines for determining WHAT IS SEVERE. What it says it a little different from that.

The point of (C) is that news organizations don't have clear guidelines for determining WHETHER TO COVER AN ACCIDENT given its severity. In other words, they can tell how severe an accident is, but they don't have guidelines that indicate what that severity means for the decision regarding whether to cover it.

The fact that they don't have such guidelines does not mean that they can't decide to cover an accident because it's severe. It means only that they don't have clear guidelines, i.e., standard criteria or procedures, that they use in making that decision.

So, regardless of what (C) says, it could be that news organizations get into reporting accidents because a severe accident causes them to focus their attention on the airline industry.
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