Hi all,
I updated the spreadsheet with reported Round 1 decisions. Take a look and see if everything is accurate. If you are in purple, please edit the spreadsheet or post your final decision on the board and I will edit the spreadsheet. And now for a long winded analysis.

The colors let you know which stats are comparable.
Here are the total stats for Round 1:
Admit: 25.3% (42/166)
Waitlist: 22.3% (37/166)
Ding w/o Interview: 14% (23/166)
Ding w/ Interview: 22.3% (37/166)
Unknown w/ Interview: 16.2% (27/166)From what I have gathered, we have just 14% reporting a ding before interview. That is suspiciously low (as can be expected), so we will just look at decisions post interview (total of 143):
Accepted: 29.4% (42/143)
Waitlisted: 25.9% (37/143)
Ding: 25.9% (37/143)
Unknown: 19% (27/143)Last year’s thread is a bit of a mess. I’ve tried to put together solid stats but there may still be errors. Last year's Round 1 total stats were (total of 69):
Admit: 23.2% (16/69)
Waitlist: 29% (20/69) ((Admit after Waitlist: 50% (10/20)))
Ding w/o interview: 20.3% (14/69)
Ding w/ Interview: 13% (9/69)
Unknown w/ Interview: 14.5% (10/69)Again, a very low Ding w/o interview rate. So let’s just look at the stats post-interview. (total of 55):
Admit: 29% (16/55)
Waitlist: 36.4% (20/55)
Ding: 16.4% (9/55)
Unknown: 18.2% (10/55)The post-interview statistics make for an interesting comparison. We have almost three times as many post-interview applicants this year, so who knows how reliable this data is. The admit rate is about the same (~29%). The waitlist rate appears to be much lower this year, only 25% compared to last year’s 36%. The ding rate post interview appears to be higher this year, 26% compared to last year’s 16%. The unknown post interview rate is also about the same. We can probably assume that most of the unknowns are waitlist or dings.
To my fellow Round 1 waitlisters:
We seem to be in pretty good shape. The waitlist % is lower this year (at least among GMAT clubbers) while the other stats have held fairly steady. Of the 20 waitlisters from Round 1 last year, 9 were accepted in March on the Round 2 decision date (1 with money) and 1 was accepted in May. Only 1 waitlist ding was reported and that was in March. 2 of the 20 reported withdraws before the R2 decision date, 2 were waitlisted through the summer, and 5 did not report after the original december waitlisting.
So, if this year is like last year, about half of us can expect good news in March. Not bad odds, hopefully it will help relieve the anxiety over the next 3 months.
Best of luck to everyone. Let me know if you see any numerical errors here and I’ll fix them.