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Intern
Joined: 02 Sep 2006
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14 Dec 2006, 22:01
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more expensive equipment when the economy is strong than when it is
weak. Hill and Dale is a business that sells high-quality, expensive camping
and hiking equipment in Boravia. Although all the signs are that Boraviaâ€™s
economy is now entering a period of sustained strength, the managers
of the business do not expect a substantial increase in sales.

Which of the following, if true, would provide the strongest
justification for the managersâ€™ judgment?

A. A significant proportion of Hill and Daleâ€™s sales are made to
customers who enter the store in order to buy one particular
item but, once there, find other items to buy as well.

B. In Boravia when the economy is strong, those who might
otherwise go camping tend to take vacations overseas.

C. The economic upturn is likely to allow Boraviaâ€™s national
parks, where most of the camping and hiking is
done, to receive extra funding to improve their visitor facilities.

D. Advances in materials technology have led to the
development of hiking and camping equipment that
is more comfortable and lightweight than before.

E. Many people in Boravia not only are committed to
preserving the countryâ€™s wilderness areas but also
are interested in spending some time in them.

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Director
Joined: 17 Jul 2006
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14 Dec 2006, 22:23
looks like c

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Senior Manager
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15 Dec 2006, 00:22
Will go with B

C weakens the judgement

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Senior Manager
Joined: 04 Nov 2006
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15 Dec 2006, 01:12
B is good.. if in good economy, ppl follow alternate action, then clearly sales be low..

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Manager
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15 Dec 2006, 02:06
Answer is C. When managers know behaviour of people when the economy is strong, they cannot naturally expect the sales to go up.

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VP
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15 Dec 2006, 04:39
Give me B!

With C you have make an additional assumption that the 'visitor facilities' include high quality camping equipment. We don't know that.

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Director
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16 Dec 2006, 21:35
B !
Argument doesn't say that after economic revival visiotr's facility in most of the parks will allow users to borrow or rent high quality camping equipment. So C is out of scope.
_________________

"Education is what remains when one has forgotten everything he learned in school."

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Senior Manager
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17 Dec 2006, 18:28
B is the only one that directly resolves the paradox, and gives a reason for no increase in sales in a good economy.

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Manager
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17 Dec 2006, 19:27
Hi ttanvir,

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VP
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19 Dec 2006, 16:04
B makes the most sense, very cut and dry, when economy is good, people who are planning to buy, buy higher end recreational equipment , but in Boravia when the economy goes up, less people will be planning to buy equipment because evreyone will be going on vacations elsewhere

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Senior Manager
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19 Dec 2006, 22:54
B too C clearly weakens the claim

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Intern
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19 Dec 2006, 23:24
I am going with a B

B provides the best reason why sales forcast is not going up in a strong economy......those who tend to buy camping equip in strong economy tend to go on vacations instead. The current customer base is not expanded therefore the sales are not anticipated to increase

My \$0.02

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Manager
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20 Dec 2006, 04:51
one more B.

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Director
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20 Dec 2006, 19:13

The argument is: strong economy doesn't lead to a significant increase in sales.
X: strong economy
Y: NOT a significant increase in sales
stim. tells that X --/--> Y

but argument says x ----> y
this could be because a new introduced event (Z) that caused
Z ----> Y such that Z is stronger than X

[ am i complicating things ? ]

A. weakens the argument

B. vacation overseas is Z, strengthen the argument

C. weakens the argument

D. weakens the argument

E. out of the scope

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Senior Manager
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01 Jan 2007, 19:43
Straight away, B.

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Senior Manager
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02 Jan 2007, 08:46
Definitely go with B.

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02 Jan 2007, 08:46
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