City Y has never hosted a major international sporting event. An analysis of the past five Olympic Games reveals that, without exception, each successful bid came from a city that had hosted at least one major sporting event within five years of its Olympic bid. Based on this observation, City Y’s bid committee believes it has very little chance of being selected to host the upcoming Games.
The passage tells that City Y has never hosted any international sporting event and analysis of the previous olympic games it has been found that hosting ity has hosted at least one major sporting event. As City Y has not hosted any international sporting event, bid committee of Y believes that City Y has very little chance of getting slected as host for the upcoming event.
Which of the following best points out a flaw in the reasoning above? Lets analyze options
A. It confuses the Olympic Committee’s selection criteria with the priorities of individual bid committees.
Irrelevant, there is no confusion in the selection criteria and priorities of individual committee. Eliminate
B. It incorrectly treats City Y’s lack of hosting experience as direct evidence that it will not be selected to host the Olympics.
Yeah they incorrectly treat City Y's lack of hosting but there is no direct evidence for the not hosting olympics. Eliminate
C. It overlooks the mere possibility that City Y might still be selected even if it hasn’t hosted a major event before.
The committee has overlooked possibility of selection but it is not complete in pointing out flaw. Keep this option
D. It relies on a similarity among previous outcomes without considering whether that similarity was essential to those outcomes.
This option points tout the flaw that similar past events will determine the future outcomes without considering whether they are essential or not. Keep this option
E. It takes for granted that cities that haven’t hosted sporting events are automatically uninterested in doing so.
There was no point of uninterest. Eliminate
Between option C and D. Option D is more comprehensive and directly points out flaw.
Answer should be D.