FIRST PART: Probability that Hugo id the pilot
I need to consider 2 scenarios:
- A: Hugo is the pilot.
- B: Hugo is not the pilot.
Scenario A: Hugo is the pilot
Hugo can be selected as the pilot in only one way.
Since the crew must include 2 copilots with at least 500 hours of experience, we select 2 of the 3 qualified copilots:
\((\frac{3}{2})=\) \(\frac{3x2}{2x1} = 3 \)
Therefore, the number of crew in which Hugo is the pilot is:
\(1x3=3\)
Scenario B: Hugo is not the pilot
There are other pilots.
When Hugo is not the pilot , any 2 of the 6 copilots can be selected:
\(\frac{6}{2}\)\( = \frac{6x5}{2x1}=15\)
The number of crew in which Hugo is not the pilot is: \(3X15=45\)
Total number of valid crews \(3+45=48\)
Probability that Hugo is the pilot is: \(\frac{3}{48}=\frac{1}{16}\)
SECOND PART: Probability that exactly one pilot has fewer than 500 hours
Hugo cannot be the pilot in this case.
Therefore, there are 3 possible pilots.
To have exactly one pilot with fewer than 500 hours, we must select:
- 1 of the 3 inexperienced copilots: \(\frac{3}{1}=3\)
- 1 of the experienced copilots:\(\frac{ 3}{1}=3\)
Number of favorable crews is: \(3x3x3 =27\)
\(\frac{27 ways}{ 48 total ways} \) \(= \frac{9}{16}\)
Final answers:1.- \(\frac{1}{16}\)2.- \(\frac{9}{16}\)Bunuel
The cockpit crew for a long-haul flight must consist of 1 pilot and 2 copilots, selected from an available pool of 4 pilots and 6 copilots. One of the pilots, Hugo, is only certified to serve as pilot if each of the two selected copilots has at least 500 hours of flight experience, a qualification held by 3 of the 6 available copilots. The remaining pilots can fly with any copilot. A cockpit crew will be selected at random from all possible crew combinations that meet these conditions.
The two columns in the table refer to two separate cases, each based on the same random selection from all valid cockpit crews. In the table, for
Hugo is the pilot, select the probability that Hugo is the pilot on the selected cockpit crew. For
Exactly 1 copilot has less than 500 hours, select the probability that exactly 1 of the 2 copilots on the selected cockpit crew has less than 500 hours. Make only two selections, one in each column.