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Bunuel
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BrentGMATPrepNow
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Wouldn't the following calcualtion give the result 4/13 instead of 28/91?

" Probability of getting 1 Black is(8/13)*(7/14) = 28/91"

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Bunuel
A box contains 5 white balls and 8 black balls. A ball is removed from the box and replaced by two balls of the other color (for example, if a white ball is removed, then it is replaced by two black balls and vise-versa). After that, a second ball is drawn. What is the probability that the second ball is black?

A. 1/2
B. 38/91
C. 53/91
D. 8/13
E. 5/7


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There are two potential outcomes here: white draw->black draw and black draw->black draw.

White-black:
\(\frac{5}{13}*\frac{8+2}{13-1+2}=\frac{25}{91}\)

Black-black:
\(\frac{8}{13}*\frac{8-1}{13-1+2}=\frac{28}{91}\)

Both outcomes are mutually exclusive and happen in different "universes", so we can sum them.
\(\frac{25+28}{91}=\frac{53}{91}\). Thus answer is D.
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