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A and B alternately toss a coin. The first one to turn up a head wins. if no more than five tosses each are allowed for a single game., find the probability that the person who tosses first will win the game. What are the odds against A's losing if she goes first?
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A and B alternately toss a coin. The first one to turn up a head wins. if no more than five tosses each are allowed for a single game., find the probability that the person who tosses first will win the game. What are the odds against A's losing if she goes first?
Quote:
find the probability that the person who tosses first will win the game.
1/2
Quote:
What are the odds against A's losing if she goes first
Here is what I think how this problem should be worked upon.
The first question asks to find the probability that the person who tosses first will win the game. Any one of A or B can tosse first. Let us say that A tosses first. So basically we need to find the probability that A will win.
The game can follow in the following possible ways:
A B A B A B A B A B
H....end of game A wins
T H ......end of game B wins
T T H ..... end of game A wins
T T T H.....end of game B wins
T T T T H .....end of game A wins
T T T T T H .....end of game B wins
T T T T T T H ....end of game A wins
T T T T T T T H ....end of game B wins
T T T T T T T T H ....end of game A wins
T T T T T T T T T H ....end of game B wins
T T T T T T T T T T ....NOBODY wins ...tie
First question:
ONLY 1, 3, 5, and 7th options above are applicable for the first question. Because these are the only options where A wins.
Probability for the firts option = 1/2
Probability for the 3rd option = 1/8 and so on
The probability that A wins (the one who tossed first) = 1/2 + 1/8 + 1/32 + 1/128 + 1/512 = 341/512.
I know this answer is different from what araspai has mentioned. But it is approximately ~ 21.3/32. May be it is correct answer.
SECOND QUESTION
Here the condition is given that A tosses first. The above configuration will work for this condition. So we do not need to create a new configiration.
Here I really have concern about the answer araspai has given (probability > 1?)
IMHO, the "odds against A's loosing" = Probability of A wining OR probability of occuring a tie
we already found the probability of A wining = 341/512
based on the above configuration of all the possible game options,
the probability of occuring a TIE = 1/1024 (The last option)
Hence, the "odds against A's loosing" = 341/512 + 1/1024 = 643/1024.
araspai,
can you tell us if these answers seem reasonable?
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Hi there,
This topic has been closed and archived due to inactivity or violation of community quality standards. No more replies are possible here.
Still interested in this question? Check out the "Best Topics" block above for a better discussion on this exact question, as well as several more related questions.