kakakakaak – I am sorry that you scored 610 on the GMAT. Having said that, if we predicted your ability to be at a V37 then it should be around a V37. At
e-GMAT, we predict your ability using multiple data points including:
1. Your score in cementing quizzes
2. Your Scholaranium accuracy stats
3. Your SIGma-X mock scores.
You get a reliable estimate only when the estimates provided by these three metrics are within range. For example, if your SC ability score in your last SIGma-X mock is 80th percentile, but your last 20 Scholaranium-Hard accuracy is 45 percent then that 80th percentile score
will not be a reliable estimate. It becomes a reliable estimate only when your last 20 SC-Hard accuracy is consistently around 60 percent
AND your SIGma-X mock SC percentile is 80th percentile.
Bottom line: A single data point can be wrong, but multiple data points are not likely to be wrong. If we predicted your ability to be 80th percentile based on multiple data points then it likely is.
Why did you score lower on the official test?
There could be a multitude of reasons why you scored poorly. It could just be that you had a bad day – you were exceedingly nervous which led to you performing poorly. When we are nervous, we don’t approach the questions on the test the same way. Rather, we start looking for shortcuts. Similarly, some students focus on just one section before the actual exam and do well on that section but perform poorly on the other section.
Again, like a mock, the actual GMAT is one data point (unfortunately the most important one). If your stats indicate that you have 80th percentile ability on Scholaranium and have scored around the same consistently on SIGma-X mocks then that is your ability. We stand by that assessment.
Remember, sixty-three percent of all 700+ GMAT scores reported on GMAT Club in 2021 were by e-GMATers. Most of them first achieved that ability based on Scholaranium accuracy, and then on the mocks (SIGma-X and official), and then on the official mocks.
Some people underperform at some point in their final stages
A few of them (700-scorers mentioned above) faltered on the official test like you. But they trusted the process and bounced back within 15 days. Some like
Magdalena(780 scorer) messed up on their SIGma-X mock (scored 680) right before the test. Does that mean that their ability suddenly evaporated? Not really! You cannot build or lose ability in a day (unless you go crazy). In Magdalena's case, she performed as predicted, scoring 780 on the actual test.
Bottom line: your test, even though the only official data point, is still one data point. As
bb indicated, you can underperform on the test.
Don’t doubt your ability if you have consistently performed at a higher level prior to that. One more thing – you have access to
GMAT Club tests as a part of your
e-GMAT subscription. You may activate your subscription and take their mock.
-Rajat