Bunuel
Investing in real estate would be a profitable venture at this time. A survey in House magazine revealed that 85% of the magazine's readers are planning to buy a second home over the next few years. A study of the real estate industry, however, revealed that the current supply of homes could only provide for 65% of that demand each year.
Which of the following, if true, reveals a weakness in the evidence cited above?
(A) Real estate is a highly labor-intensive business.
(B) Home builders are not evenly distributed across the country.
(C) The number of people who want second homes has been increasing each year for the past ten years.
(D) Readers of House magazine are more likely than most people to want second homes.
(E) House magazine includes articles about owning a second home as well as articles about building a second home.
Premises:
A survey in House magazine revealed that 85% of the magazine's readers are planning to buy a second home over the next few years.
A study of the real estate industry revealed that the current supply of homes could only provide for 65% of that demand each year.
Conclusion:
Investing in real estate would be a profitable venture at this time.
Based on the survey results, the author is assuming that 85% of the population wants to buy a second home and then reaching his conclusion. What is the weakness in the evidence cited? What if the this sample for the survey does not represent the population?
That is what (D) says.
(D) Readers of House magazine are more likely than most people to want second homes.We get the 85% figure because people who buy this magazine are the ones who want to buy a second home. Say people who buy the National Geographic magazine have no interest in buying a home at all. Those who buy no magazine may want only one home etc. We don't know. The point is that a weakness in the evidence is that the sample may not represent the population accurately. If readers of House magazine are more likely than most people to want second homes, then the 85% figure for the whole population is inflated.
(E) House magazine includes articles about owning a second home as well as articles about building a second home.Irrelevant. We do not know whether people want to themselves build new houses or not. We know their preferences for owning houses only. Just because the magazine has articles doesn't mean that people want to build their second homes themselves. Also, we are talking about investing in the real estate sector, not buying ready houses. One could invest in real estate sector by buying land. One would profit even if people want to build their own houses and not buy the current ones because they will need to buy land to do so.
Answer (D)