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broall
Politician: From the time our party took office almost four years ago the number of people unemployed city-wide increased by less than 20 percent. The opposition party controlled city government during the four preceding years, and the number of unemployed city residents rose by over 20 percent. Thus, due to our leadership, fewer people now find themselves among the ranks of the unemployed, whatever the opposition may claim.

The reasoning in the politician’s argument is most vulnerable to the criticism that

(A) the claims made by the opposition are simply dismissed without being specified

(B) no evidence has been offered to show that any decline in unemployment over the past four years was uniform throughout all areas of the city

(C) the issue of how much unemployment in the city is affected by seasonal fluctuations is ignored

(D) the evidence cited in support of the conclusion actually provides more support for the denial of the conclusion

(E) the possibility has not been addressed that any increase in the number of people employed is due to programs supported by the opposition party

Source: LSAT

Will go with D
Conclusion is : fewer people now find themselves among the ranks of the unemployed, whatever the opposition may claim.-----we are talking about absolute number here ..

Now according to argument : 4 years back , let 100 were unemployed ...
now as politician stated , the unemployment rate rose less than 20% in his tenure ....so let say 15 %...
Now latest number of people unemployment --115 ...That is greater than previous number ...

hence the conclusion is faulty ..that is what D is saying ,
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Good explanation from MGMAT:

(A) is not true. There is no claim offered by the opposition that is simply dismissed. We would need to be able to point to a claim made by the opposition that the author dismisses, and even then the claim would need to be central to the politician's argument.
(B) is too specific. The argument never concludes that the unemployment was uniform throughout all areas of the city.
(C) is too narrow in scope. Definitely season fluctuations could be at play, but could not influence numbers that span a four year period.
(E) is the most tempting of the incorrect answers. It addresses a possible alternative cause, but those programs under the opposition, might yet have been supported by the politician's party.
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Politician: From the time our party took office almost four years ago the number of people unemployed city-wide increased by less than 20 percent. The opposition party controlled city government during the four preceding years, and the number of unemployed city residents rose by over 20 percent. Thus, due to our leadership, fewer people now find themselves among the ranks of the unemployed, whatever the opposition may claim.

The reasoning in the politician’s argument is most vulnerable to the criticism that



Weaken question

Pre-thinking

Here the politician draws a conclusion based on some evidence.

Conclusion: Fewer people unemployed now

Evidence: The increase in unemployment was smaller than that during the precedent administration.

Now, What if between the precedent legislation and the legislation in which the politician worked, the number of people unemployed did not change? For example:
number of people unemployed at the beginning of the precedent legislation=100
Increase: 25%--->125
number of people unemployed at the beginning of the politician's legislation=125
increase: 19%---->149

We can see how this is one very logical scenario as we don't expect a sudden decrease in unemployment in between one legislation and the other.



POE:

(A) the claims made by the opposition are simply dismissed without being specified
Irrelevant

(B) no evidence has been offered to show that any decline in unemployment over the past four years was uniform throughout all areas of the city
Irrelevant

(C) the issue of how much unemployment in the city is affected by seasonal fluctuations is ignored
Irrelevant

(D) the evidence cited in support of the conclusion actually provides more support for the denial of the conclusion
In line with pre-thinking

(E) the possibility has not been addressed that any increase in the number of people employed is due to programs supported by the opposition party
too vague
Source: LSAT
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Considered D (but didn't select) because while the population of unemployed still rose, the percentage trend was still less.
I'm a little confused because looking at the two pieces of evidence as a pair, it's conclusion is logical. But looking at the the first piece of evidence in a vacuum makes it look like it the conclusion is incorrect.

Picked E because it at least suggests that there was bipartisan support for the programs in place, which would cut against the claim of the partys leadership (an therefore the parties policies) being the cause.
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Disagree with TommyWallach, believe this is more of a flaw in the reasoning/method of reasoning question. Not a weaken-type question
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KarishmaB - Can you pls explain how option D is correct answer ?

Thank you!
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