souvik101990
While the total enrollment of public elementary and secondary schools in Sondland is one percent higher this academic year than last academic year, the number of teachers there increased by three percent. Thus, the Sondland Education Commission's prediction of a teacher shortage as early as next academic year is unfounded.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the claim that the prediction of a teacher shortage as early as next academic year is unfounded?
A. Funding for public elementary schools in Sondland is expected to increase over the next ten years.
B. Average salaries for Sondland’s teachers increased at the rate of inflation from last academic year to this academic year.
C. A new law has mandated that there be ten percent more teachers per pupil in Sondland’s public schools next academic year than there were this academic year.
D. In the past, increases in enrollments in public elementary and secondary schools in Sondland have generally been smaller than increases in the number of teachers.
E. Because of reductions in funding, the number of students enrolling in teacher-training programs in Sondland is expected to decline beginning in the next academic year.
Premise: While the total enrollment of public elementary and secondary schools in Sondland is one percent higher this academic year than last academic year, the number of teachers there increased by three percent.
Conclusion: the Sondland Education Commission's prediction of a teacher shortage as early as next academic year is unfounded.
In order to weaken the conclusion, we need to prove that for some reason there will be a shortage of teachers as early as next year.
Pre-thinking scenario A: What if the population of school students rises exponentially with respect to population of teachers in the next year
Pre-thinking scenario B: What if the population of teachers reduces drastically with respect to population of students in the next year
Option A: Out of scope
Talks about funding of school over a period of ten years. The argument does not mention any correlation between population of teachers/students and funding. Moreover, the period taken into consideration (10yrs) is significantly more than that in the argument (next academic year)
Option B: Out of scope/No affect
Relation between salary and inflation rate has no affect on teacher enrollment.
Option C: No affect
This option talks about a new ratio - teachers per pupil. While the argument provides info about % increase in student and teacher population, it does not give any fact related to CURRENT student or teacher population. Hence, we cannot determine the number of teachers next year.
Option D: No affect
This option talks about a past trend. The argument does not provide sufficient information whether the trend will continue in the future. Moreover, this option talks about numbers and the argument only mentions percentage.
Option E: Weakens
Aligns with Pre-thinking scenario B. Starting next year, the number of teachers graduating from Teacher training school will be affected. Hence, a teacher shortage can be predicted as early as next year.
Answer : E