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In 1980, a Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747 was sold at auction for $8,000. Eleanor Bixby owns another Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747. When she puts it on the market next week, it will fetch a price over $18,000.

Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the conclusion drawn above?

(A) Since 1980, the average price for rare coins has increased by over 150 percent.
Wrong. This is strengthening the argument.

(B) There are only four coins like the one in question in the entire world.
Wrong. Strengthening the argument again.

(C) Since 1980, the consumer price index has risen by over 150 percent.
Right. Came to through POE.

(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.
Wrong. Selected this one but its actually wrong. If you see it's written 1986. The price should drop after 1986 but but why will it drop now.

(E) Thirty prominent, wealthy coin collectors are expected to bid for Bixby’s coin.
Wrong. Strengthening the argument.
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Can anyone explain why option D is not a correct answer?
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Although came to C by POE . I still cant figure out how CPI is linked to increase in prices ?? Further, the keyword Since 1980 means a post selling issue (a future event). Please shed some light .


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Bunuel
In 1980, a Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747 was sold at auction for $8,000. Eleanor Bixby owns another Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747. When she puts it on the market next week, it will fetch a price over $18,000.

Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the conclusion drawn above?

(A) Since 1980, the average price for rare coins has increased by over 150 percent.
(B) There are only four coins like the one in question in the entire world.
(C) Since 1980, the consumer price index has risen by over 150 percent.
(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.
(E) Thirty prominent, wealthy coin collectors are expected to bid for Bixby’s coin.

1980 - a coin was sold for 8k (past)
EB owns another such coin (present, 2020). It will fetch her 18k next week (one week from now).

We need to weaken that the coin will fetch 18k next week.

(A) Since 1980, the average price for rare coins has increased by over 150 percent.

Since 1980 to now, the price has increased by over 150%. So then it makes sense that the coin will cost 18k.

(B) There are only four coins like the one in question in the entire world.

Makes it likely that the coin will fetch a lot of money since there are only 4 such coins.

(C) Since 1980, the consumer price index has risen by over 150 percent.

Again, this means that the cost of things has increased by over 150%. So likely that the coin will fetch more than 18k.

(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.

In 1986, many such coins were found. So it means now such coins are not rare. Then it is likely that it will not fetch a lot of money. Hence it weakens our conclusion.

(E) Thirty prominent, wealthy coin collectors are expected to bid for Bixby’s coin.

Irrelevant

Answer (D)


VeritasKarishma Could you help as the answer to the question is C and not D.
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Veritas Karishma , Daagh- Can you please tell why C is the answer and not D?
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Bunuel
In 1980, a Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747 was sold at auction for $8,000. Eleanor Bixby owns another Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747. When she puts it on the market next week, it will fetch a price over $18,000.

Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the conclusion drawn above?

(A) Since 1980, the average price for rare coins has increased by over 150 percent.
(B) There are only four coins like the one in question in the entire world.
(C) Since 1980, the consumer price index has risen by over 150 percent.
(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.
(E) Thirty prominent, wealthy coin collectors are expected to bid for Bixby’s coin.

1980 - a coin was sold for 8k (past)
EB owns another such coin (present, 2020). It will fetch her 18k next week (one week from now).

We need to weaken that the coin will fetch 18k next week.

(A) Since 1980, the average price for rare coins has increased by over 150 percent.

Since 1980 to now, the price has increased by over 150%. So then it makes sense that the coin will cost 18k.

(B) There are only four coins like the one in question in the entire world.

Makes it likely that the coin will fetch a lot of money since there are only 4 such coins.

(C) Since 1980, the consumer price index has risen by over 150 percent.

Again, this means that the cost of things has increased by over 150%. So likely that the coin will fetch more than 18k.

(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.

In 1986, many such coins were found. So it means now such coins are not rare. Then it is likely that it will not fetch a lot of money. Hence it weakens our conclusion.

(E) Thirty prominent, wealthy coin collectors are expected to bid for Bixby’s coin.

Irrelevant

Answer (D)


VeritasKarishma Could you help as the answer to the question is C and not D.

The answer is (D), not (C). It is incorrectly tagged as (C).
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Please clarify? is the answer C or D
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Please clarify? is the answer C or D
_________________________________
The OA is D, not C. Edited. Thank you.
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The conclusion is based on the assumption that Elinor's coin is rare.
If more 100 coins like it were found , it will not be rare and will not be sold at a high price.
So D

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Option D...... as it directly weakens the conclusion.
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In 1980, a Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747 was sold at auction for $8,000. Eleanor Bixby owns another Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747. When she puts it on the market next week, it will fetch a price over $18,000.

Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the conclusion drawn above?

(A) Since 1980, the average price for rare coins has increased by over 150 percent.
Wrong. This is strengthening the argument.

(B) There are only four coins like the one in question in the entire world.
Wrong. Strengthening the argument again.

(C) Since 1980, the consumer price index has risen by over 150 percent.
Right. Came to through POE.

(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.
Wrong. Selected this one but its actually wrong. If you see it's written 1986. The price should drop after 1986 but but why will it drop now.

(E) Thirty prominent, wealthy coin collectors are expected to bid for Bixby’s coin.
Wrong. Strengthening the argument.

(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.
Wrong. Selected this one but its actually wrong. If you see it's written 1986. The price should drop after 1986 but but why will it drop now.

because the text is not saying that she is putting the coin on sale the next week on 1980, is saying that she will put the coin on sale the next week (from today) but if in 1986 there was a batch of the same coins, then her rare coin, loses the value.
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With such questions, how do we ascertain the time period for which the question is being asked? The prompt only mentions "next week' in the question stem. There is no clear indication, whereas the answer prompts refer to different time periods.
Can anyone advise on how to go about it?
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Bunuel
In 1980, a Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747 was sold at auction for $8,000. Eleanor Bixby owns another Danish ten-øre coin minted in 1747. When she puts it on the market next week, it will fetch a price over $18,000.

Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the conclusion drawn above?

(A) Since 1980, the average price for rare coins has increased by over 150 percent.
(B) There are only four coins like the one in question in the entire world.
(C) Since 1980, the consumer price index has risen by over 150 percent.
(D) In 1986, a previously unknown cache of one hundred coins just like the one in question was found.
(E) Thirty prominent, wealthy coin collectors are expected to bid for Bixby’s coin.


CORRECT ANSWER:D
This question can be best solved by interpreting each option and what it does.
According to the question we are supposed to find a point that will weaken (reduce) the amount that Bixby will recieve.

(A). A is doing the complete opposite of the question asked. It supports an increase in value of the coin.

(B). B also increases the value of the coin, as it directs the coin to be extremely rare. Which will strengthen the conclusion rather than weakening it.

(C). C and A are similar options. They can be ruled by the same reason.

(D). D is the only option that weakens the statement as,if D is assumed to be true, the coin owned by Bixby will not be considered rare. This plummeting it's value. Hence D weakens the given conclusion.

(E). E is also ruled out bevause it strengthens the argument by assuming the coin to be really rare that will be auctioned heavily.

THANK YOU.
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eeshajain
With such questions, how do we ascertain the time period for which the question is being asked? The prompt only mentions "next week' in the question stem. There is no clear indication, whereas the answer prompts refer to different time periods.
Can anyone advise on how to go about it?
­In such cases you will have to infer; usually the answer choices will help you do so. As you can see that in option D. it is mentioned that in 1986 a cache of 100 coins was found, now we can infer that 1986 or the month or the day when coins were found has already passed since we have its information - and it will stay true next week as well, no matter what actual date the next week is, the coins have already been found. The finding of 100 more coins reduces the rarity of those coins and supposedly its value may not increase as much or even lessen, hence option D. weakens the argument.
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Okay i see the OA is said to be option D but kindly explain me why? Firstly, he is selling a coin at an auction in 1980 when the (one hundred coins being in question is not yet discovered) that means the coin is still rare and one should expect a higher valuation? So how does it weaken the conclusion that discovering a bunch of coins in 1986 will reduce the price of a coin in 1980? (or am I missing out on something)
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Souradeep17
Okay i see the OA is said to be option D but kindly explain me why? Firstly, he is selling a coin at an auction in 1980 when the (one hundred coins being in question is not yet discovered) that means the coin is still rare and one should expect a higher valuation? So how does it weaken the conclusion that discovering a bunch of coins in 1986 will reduce the price of a coin in 1980? (or am I missing out on something)

We’re told the coin is being sold in the future. While it’s not clear when it is taking place, I read it to mean in the future and not in 1980.

The reason I read that it is not 1980 is because you probably could not ask for $18,000 right after the same coin sold for $8000 so that’s what told me where much further along in terms of time.

You can see in the discussion above this point as well discussed. Consider reading through.
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The author writing this argument made an assumption that whatever worked in history will also work in future i.e.,same market conditions, same supply-demand dynamics, etc. But if there are changes in the market, let's say introduction of similar product, excess supply, those will weaken the argument and option D lies alone those lines.
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