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A is irrelevant , E and D are a bit too strong . B is the converse of what you infer from the passage . C is correct because it is the contrapositive . Always remember the converse and the inverse of the statement may or may not be true , but the contrapositive will always be true .

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navneet001
Hi Experts,

I am just a beginner, so please pardon if I did not frame/format the question correctly.
I came across below question (attached the screenshot), please let me know if I should type it in:

The solution suggested is option C. I am confused on why Option D is not correct. It clearly says that the
‘Research shows that people who practice defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident.

Is not option D stating exact the same ?

Thanks in advance.
Dear navneet001,
I'm happy to help. :-)

First of all, when you have a question about a specific question of a particular type, I would recommend posting it in the part of the forum devoted to that question type. For example, I believe this question would have been most appropriately posted in the Critical Reasoning section of the Verbal Forum.

In this question, (D) lays a trap, a very tempting trap, and I'm sorry to say, you fell for it hook, line, and sinker. Many folks who have not studied statistics in depth would fall for this mistake. You see, let's think about the statement --- in the general population, quality A is correlated with quality B. As a overall, general rule, individuals with a higher degree of A (whatever that is) also have a higher degree of B. Correlations and related trends speak to something that is true in the population-wide view. BUT, we must keep in mind, correlation does not imply causality, so if we go down to the level of the individual, we can't say if person #1 has more A than person #2, then person #1 must also have more B. Correlations are about whole population trends and may not play out at the granular level.

For example, there's a well-measured correlation between height and salary --- tall people, on average, are somewhat more likely to have a high salary than short people. Nevertheless, it's trivially easy to find examples of individuals who are short & rich or tall & poor. The correlation only speak to a pattern that emerges when we have a "whole population" view, and this pattern may be weak or virtually indiscernible at the individual level.

That the problem with (D) ---- it takes the pattern that true as an overall population-wide trend and tries to concretize it at the level of one individual compared to another.

Does this make sense?
Mike :-)
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This argument contains a conditional statement. If people are less likely to get into a car accident, they are more likely practicing defensive driving. The contrapositive of that is if people are less likely practicing defensive driving, they are more likely to get into a car accident. So answer C is the correct one.
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Hi Experts,

I am just a beginner, so please pardon if I did not frame/format the question correctly.
I came across below question (attached the screenshot), please let me know if I should type it in:

The solution suggested is option C. I am confused on why Option D is not correct. It clearly says that the
‘Research shows that people who practice defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident.

Is not option D stating exact the same ?

Thanks in advance.
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GMAT PILL instructors - Could you please explain me how to tackle the question using your strategy ?
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aggressive driving causes a large percentage of car accidents.

People who practice defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident.
(Aggressive driving behaviors do not practice defensive driving)

Therefore, the insurance company’s plan should help reduce the number of accidents.

Assuming the statements above are true, which of the following can be inferred from them?

A. The majority of accidents are caused by drivers who possess insurance.
(Insurance is not mentioned at all. OFS)

B. People who manage to consistently avoid car accidents are likely practicing defensive driving.
(can be correct but those who in general avoid accidents could be doing so for a variety of reasons)

C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics.
(This is inline with our pre-line thinking and correct answer))

D. An individual who does not practice defensive driving is always more likely to get into a car accident than an individual who does practice defensive driving.
(This cannot be inferred as this is extreme case.)

E. Discounts are the most effective way for insurance companies to promote defensive driving.
(Most effective-extreme case)
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The argument says:

Premise :
if aggressive driving, then more chance of an accident happening. AD--> AH, c ontrapositive A~H--> ~AD
if defensive driving , then less chance of an accident happening. DD--> A ~H , contrapositive : A H --> ~DD

Conclusion: if more people are defensive drivers, then less accident.

A. Out of scope. Out
B. People who avoid accidents are more likely to be driving defensively. Looks likes they are reversing the logic. A~H --> DD. Out.

C. Young people & some other demographics who constitute a majority of those involved in accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving.

Now , young people& some other demographics are a subset of those involved in accidents.
that implies, if YP, then AH
YP--> AH

Using syllogism, AH--> ~DD(from Premise), YP-->AH(from C) therefore YP--> ~DD. Yes!

D. Division Fallacy. Assuming what applies to the group applies to an individual. Out.
E. Out of scope. Out
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C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics.

They word with Young male, just as a trap, to make people think this is out-of scope. But read it , Young male and other demographics, which includes all basically.
So rewording, People known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics.
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I have query regarding option C . Option C is correct , but it is grammatically incorrect making the choice ambiguous .
C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics. -----
This option states that young people are less likely to practice defensive driving in future . However , the intended meaning is that they did not practice defensive driving and hence are likely to be involved in an accident

C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to HAVE practice defensive driving than other demographics.

Usage of Have corrects this error.

My query is not regarding grammatical correctness , but the logic arising out of it.
egmat could you help me
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Till now I am not able to reject option A because as insurance companies are offering a discount that means people must have taken insurance then only this whole process will able to stop the accident . So I can infer from the above statement that at least all the ppl who have to meet with an accident must have Insurance else this whole scheme wouldn't work.

Please help
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pragya007
Till now I am not able to reject option A because as insurance companies are offering a discount that means people must have taken insurance then only this whole process will able to stop the accident . So I can infer from the above statement that at least all the ppl who have to meet with an accident must have Insurance else this whole scheme wouldn't work.

Please help

Hi Pragya

The problem with option (A) is with the word "majority".

You are correct in reasoning that the insurance companies' plan to offer discounts to drivers who take defensive driving courses will only help in reducing accidents among those who have insurance. However, this reduction is still a reduction in total number of accidents. We cannot be certain that among all the accidents caused, >50% will be by those with insurance.

Let us consider some example numbers.

Let us assume that 100,000 drivers purchase insurance and the number of accidents is 1000. While the insurance companies' plan to offer discounts will only reduce accidents caused by these 100,000 drivers, we cannot be sure whether this constitutes >500 or <500 of the 1000 accidents that are caused by all drivers. For instance, even if only 300 accidents are caused by drivers with insurance, the insurance companies' plan will work in reducing this 300 to, say, 250, which is still a reduction in the total number of accidents.

Hope this clarifies.
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A. The majority of accidents are caused by drivers who possess insurance.
We are not so sure whether it was caused by insurance people or otherwise

B. People who manage to consistently avoid car accidents are likely practicing defensive driving.
This a possiblity however this being not secepted felt like a trap answer if none of them were making sense i would have chosen this

C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics.
Yes this can be infered due to their severe recklessness the accidents are occuring

D. An individual who does not practice defensive driving is always more likely to get into a car accident than an individual who does practice defensive driving.
We are not absolutely sure about this too

E. Discounts are the most effective way for insurance companies to promote defensive driving.
We don't know whether this is the best option or one among the option
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tuanquang269
Studies have shown that a large percentage of car accidents are caused by aggressive driving. To help reduce the number of accidents and to promote traffic safety in general, insurance companies have begun to issue discounts to drivers who take defensive driving courses. Research shows that people who practice defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident. Therefore, the insurance company’s plan should help reduce the number of accidents.

Assuming the statements above are true, which of the following can be inferred from them?


A. The majority of accidents are caused by drivers who possess insurance.

B. People who manage to consistently avoid car accidents are likely practicing defensive driving.

C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics.

D. An individual who does not practice defensive driving is always more likely to get into a car accident than an individual who does practice defensive driving.

E. Discounts are the most effective way for insurance companies to promote defensive driving.


KarishmaB GMATNinja can you please explain why is D the wrong choice?
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tuanquang269
Studies have shown that a large percentage of car accidents are caused by aggressive driving. To help reduce the number of accidents and to promote traffic safety in general, insurance companies have begun to issue discounts to drivers who take defensive driving courses. Research shows that people who practice defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident. Therefore, the insurance company’s plan should help reduce the number of accidents.

Assuming the statements above are true, which of the following can be inferred from them?


A. The majority of accidents are caused by drivers who possess insurance.

B. People who manage to consistently avoid car accidents are likely practicing defensive driving.

C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics.

D. An individual who does not practice defensive driving is always more likely to get into a car accident than an individual who does practice defensive driving.

E. Discounts are the most effective way for insurance companies to promote defensive driving.

First notice that we are asked to assume that the statements given in the argument are true. So they are all premises even if the last statement looks like the author's conclusion.

Argument:

- a large percentage of car accidents are caused by aggressive driving.
- Research shows that people who practice defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident.

Plan: Issue discounts to those who take defensive driving courses.
Target: To help reduce the number of accidents and to promote traffic safety in general

- Company’s plan should help reduce the number of accidents.

We need to find an inference now - something that must be true if all above statements are true.


A. The majority of accidents are caused by drivers who possess insurance.

Not necessarily true. Say if only 40% accidents are caused by drivers who possess insurance, even then the plan could reduce the number of accidents.

B. People who manage to consistently avoid car accidents are likely practicing defensive driving.

Not necessarily true. People avoiding accidents could have other good driving habits or skills.

C. Young males and other demographics known for disproportionately being involved in car accidents are less likely to practice defensive driving than other demographics.

We know that people practising defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident.
Demographics that have a high rate of car accidents then are less likely to be practicing defensive driving than other demographics. If they had been practicing defensive driving, they would have been less likely to get into a car accident because research tells us that. Demographics practising defensive driving are considerably less likely to get into a car accident.

D. An individual who does not practice defensive driving is always more likely to get into a car accident than an individual who does practice defensive driving.

Not correct. Two reasons for that. First, we are told about the group as a whole. There could be outliers. Someone could be practicing defensive driving but still having other risk factors (driving at night or on risky routes etc) which could make him/her more susceptible to an accident. Second, 'practicing defensive driving' generally makes an individual safer than before (when we compare him/her with himself/herself from before). He/she may still be at more risk than another individual who doesn't practice defensive driving but has other very good driving habits.

E. Discounts are the most effective way for insurance companies to promote defensive driving.

It needn't be "the most" effective way. It just needs to be effective.

Answer (C)
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C. I believe this is the right reasoning.
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