The upcoming presidential election in the West African republic of Ganelon is of grave concern to the U.S. State Department. Ganelon presently has strong political and military ties to the United States. However, the Socialist party is widely expected to win the election, leading to fears that Ganelon will soon break away from the pro-American bloc and adopt a nonaligned or openly anti-American stance.
Premise : G =strong ties=US
Premise : SP = exp. to win
Belief: G = break ties =US
Conclusion : elect = concern to US
NOTE : The phrase "leading to fear" is not a factual statement and is the author's point of view. SO we can challenge this.
Think: In what scenario will author's fear not hold true??? The sentece : "the socialist part... , leading" this is a verb-ing modifier moifying the preceding clause and in this case suggestng us the RESULT of he preceding claus..BUT this reult is not FACT but a poiny of view. WHAT IF this result were not to occur , then would there be any concern??? For the fear to be true there has to be BASE, ie to jump from winning to "leading to fear" we are assuming that the "winning WILL LEAD to breaking of ties"
FIND this asnwer.
Which of the following is an assumption made in the passage above?
Quote:
(A) A Socialist party government in Ganelon is more likely to oppose the United States than is a non-Socialist party government.
- CORRECT. This is the missing link between "winning" and "fear"
(B)
The people of the United States recognize their nation’s interest in the political stability of West Africa.
- OUT OF SCOPE (highlighted part)
(C) A weakening of U.S. political ties with Ganelon could have serious
consequences for U.S. relations with
other African nations.
- OUT OF SCOPE
(D) The Socialist party leaders in Ganelon believe that their nation’s interests would
best be served by an alliance with anti-American forces.
- OUT OF SCOPE
(E) The Socialist party
will win the upcoming election in Ganelon.
- WE ARE not concerned whether the prediction will be true !!!