Bunuel
Choi: All other factors being equal, children whose parents earned doctorates are more likely to earn a doctorate than children whose parents did not earn doctorates.
Hart: But consider this: over 70 percent of all doctorate holders do not have a parent that also holds a doctorate.
Which of the following would explain how both Hart and Choi could be correct in their assertions?
A) Most doctorates who don't have a parent that also holds a doctorate have an aunt or uncle that holds a doctorate.
B) Parental education is rarely the overriding factor in determining whether a person earns a doctorate or not.
C) Both Hart and Choi fail to produce sufficient evidence to prove their cases.
D) One man uses raw numbers while the other uses percents.
E) Hart does not dispute Choi, but rather attempts to support his argument with additional evidence.
No choice here is correct, though I bet the OA will be given as D.
The extra datum that could reconcile these two observations would be the
ratio—among whatever ENTIRE population is relevant here (most likely a single country, or other unit for which identical census data is available throughout)—of
people with children who have doctorate degrees to people with children who do NOT have such degrees.
We would presumably find that only a minuscule proportion of people—most likely a single-digit percentage—have PhD degrees.
As long as that is true, then, even if ALL of the doctorate holders' kids go on to earn doctorates themselves (a massive exaggeration of what Choi is saying), Hart's assertion could still very easily be true.
The OA will probably be given as D, just because that's the only choice that isn't instantly wrong right on its face. (You don't have to read past Hart's first word to see that E is false. Neither A nor B has any possible relevance. And C doesn't even mean anything, because neither speaker is actively making any sort of "case"—in other words, an argument with a conclusion—in the first place.)
...But D isn't right, either, because the entire exchange can function without ANY absolute numbers. Both speakers' assertions are in terms of percents/fractions/other RELATIVE figures (Hart's explicitly, Choi's because "more likely" must be interpreted in terms of probabilities), and neither assertion requires any absolute numbers to make sense. As explained above, the only necessary datum that's missing here is the
ratio, or relative proportions, of parents who have PhD's and parents who do not.