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Could someone tell me how the solution would change if the question asked for the probability that both make exactly one shot?
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ezhilkumarank
James and Colleen are playing basketball. The probability of James missing a shot is x, and the probability of Colleen not making a shot is y. If they each take 2 shots. What is the probability that they both make at least 1 shot apiece?

A) \(1 - (x^2*y^2)\)
B) \((1-x^2) (1-y^2)\)
C) \((1-(1-x)^2) (1- (1-y)^2)\)
D) \((1-(1-x)^2) ((1-y)^2)\)
E) \((1-(1-y^2)) (1-x^2)\)

Solution:

The probability that James will miss both of his shots is x * x = x^2. Thus, the probability that he will make at least 1 of his shots is 1 - x^2. Similarly, the probability that Colleen will miss both of her shots is y * y = y^2. Thus, the probability that she will make at least 1 of his shots is 1 - y^2. Therefore, the probability that they both make at least 1 shot apiece is (1 - x^2)(1 - y^2).

Answer: B
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Could someone tell me how the solution would change if the question asked for the probability that both make exactly one shot?

Each person can miss either Shot#1 or Shot#2 but not both.

Probability of James missing exactly 1 shot = 2C1 * x(1-x)
Probability of Colleen missing exactly 1 shot = 2C1 * y(1-y)

Since these both are independent events, probability of both making exactly one shot = 4xy(1-x)(1-y)
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Hello from the GMAT Club BumpBot!

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