Nightfury14
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Official Solution:
Report: For the most recent quarter, TechCo announced earnings of $1.10 per share, an extremely strong result. This indicates the company has strong profitability and has delivered on its plan to launch new products and gain market share. Shares of the company fell 5% after announcing these results.
Which of the following helps explain why TechCo’s stock price fell after its strong earnings report?
A. In its earnings report, TechCo announced a new partnership with a producer of a commodity used to manufacture its products
B. Prior to the announcement of earnings, it was expected that earnings would be $1.00 per share
C. The company’s operating margins increased when compared to the same quarter in the previous year
D. Investors believe that the company’s strong results cannot continue for much longer in the future
E. Several new startup companies have recently launched with the intention of competing with TechCo in its main business line
Answer: D
(D) Correct. If investors do not expect the company’s strong result to continue, it could explain why the stock price decreased. A belief or expectation (of Investors) cannot be related as an explanations for a decline in the stock prices.
It could be correct if there is conclusive evidence - "Experts/Stock analysts forecast that the company's strong results ..."
(E) While new competitors may be a concern for TechCo, the answer choice does not state that the startup companies have launched products or gained market share. Thus, they are not likely to have an effect on TechCo’s earnings or cause a drop in TechCo’s stock price. Irrespective of the new competitors gain in market share/ launch of new products. Their entry may influence the stock prices of the that segment. Moreover option (E) says "competing with TechCo in its main business line"
I am not convinced with either answers.
sayantanc2kBeliefs of the investors is a primary driver of the stock price. It may often overwhelm the actual performance of the company - this is the reason that many stocks are over-priced or under-priced and do not reflect it's true value - You may have noticed that in times of mergers and acquisitions, frequently financial experts are called to valuate the company- If the stock price were not driven by beliefs (assuming 100% rational behavior from the investors - something far away from reality), but just by hard facts, then just multiplying the stock price with the no. of stocks would accurately give the real equity value and the financial experts would not be required to be called - frequently this is not the case.
The entry of new competitors may drive the beliefs of the investor to an extent, but the effect would be more prominent and comparable to the effect of option D only after considerable success of the company, not just by the announcement of start-ups - it takes years to feel the effect on stock price of existing companies. Moreover, statistically majority of the start-up attempts are unsuccessful - so investors are not much influenced because of their entries.