Hi, Can anyone please evaluate my passage too? It would be really helpful! Thanks in advance!
GMATNinja KapTeacherEli"On average, middle-aged consumers devote 39 percent of their retail expenditure to department store products and services, while for younger consumers the average is only 25 percent. Since the number of middle-aged people will increase dramatically within the next decade, department stores can expect retail sales to increase significantly during that period. Furthermore, to take advantage of the trend, these stores should begin to replace some of those products intended to attract the younger consumer with products intended to attract the middle-aged consumer."The author in the given passage argues that since currently, middle-aged consumers spend a larger part of their retail expenditure to departmental store products and services than younger consumers do, it is expected that departmental store sales will increase as the number of middle-aged consumers will increase dramatically within the next decade. The author bases his conclusion on assumptions without concrete evidences and until the logical fallacies are addressed, the argument remains weak and logically unsound.
First, the author asserts that since, currently, middle-aged consumers spend a greater part of their retail spending on departmental store products than younger consumers do, it is expected to happen in future too. This claim is flawed as it assumes that if an event has occurred in the past, it will happen in the future too. The author does not provide any evidence that establishes the reasons why it is reasonable to expect that the retail spending trend will be the same in the next decade too. In order to strengthen the argument, the author must provide further evidence that would support the expected retail spending trend in the two consumer groups.
Second, the author compares what proportion of retail expenditure is devoted to departmental store by the two consumer groups. However, this comparison is a weak premise to base the argument on, as it only compares the proportion of retail expenditure and not the absolute value. It is possible that 25 percent of younger consumers’ retail expenditure is greater than 39 percent of middle-aged consumers’ retail expenditure. If this is true then the argument would not hold good. So, to further strengthen the argument, the author must provide additional information on the absolute value of expenditure by the two groups.
Finally, in the anticipation of dramatic increase in middle-aged consumers within the next decade, the author asserts that the stores should begin replacing products meant for younger consumers with that for middle-aged consumers to take advantage of this trend. This plan is seriously flawed because the ultimate objective of the store would be to maximize its sale and profit, but if this plan is implemented, then it is quite possible that the stores would lose their current younger consumers and thus impact the business at present. To address this vulnerability, the author must suggest an alternative plan that would not drive away the present consumers, but is in line with the anticipation at the same time.
To conclude, the passage currently suffers from the above-mentioned serious flaws – expecting the past trend to carry on to the future, inadequate comparison of spending proportion, and advice to replace products, which could hurt the present sales. Until the above-mentioned flaws are addressed and additional information is provided to support the assumptions, the argument stays vulnerable to being weak and unsound as it currently stands.