popov
Couple of general questions: What is the deal about admit count vs class size. How does it go down from 1050 admitted to 750 class size? Is there any further filter Or the gap of 300 here shows those who were admitted, but didnt join? I guess this is true for all schools, so in a way not related to stats that you have posted above.
Now specific to stats that are being discussed. With focus on Admitted alone (and not the class size).
If 150 students reported on facebook are admitted ones, then it means there are 900 (1050-150) spots left. Considering other admitted ones, who have not joined fb group, lets assume that there are total 350 admitted students. It implies that there are still 700 spots left. It makes hard to digest that so far ED admits are only 350/1050 = ~33%. I thought ED admit would be much higher, considering schools interest in those who apply early!! Any thoughts, anyone? Am I making any calculation error here?
Hope I didn't make you too confused
1) Class size is the number of people who actually matriculate to the school. Since 100% of those accepted do not matriculate the number of students admitted is larger than the class size. The percent of admitted students who matriculate is called the yield rate.
2) To be honest I have no idea how many students in the group are early decision or J-Term (both groups have basically finished their admission process). I also don't know how many admitted J-Term students accept their offers.
I made the following assumptions (which are not right, but hopefully close enough)
- 752 matriculating students (J-Term, ED, Regular Decision) --> 1,067 spots
- 226 of the 752 matriculating students are J-Term, assuming the same yield rate for J-Term as the avg (70.4%) -->321 offers to J-Term students*
This means that 746 admit spots are available for ED and RD.
I have no idea what number of those in the Facebook group are J-Term, ED, or RD...All I was saying is looking at the numbers....
either
There have been more than 150 people admitted if you include J-Term in the group...so the group is not an accurate indicator
OR
If it is only August Start far, then (ED and RD)...there are still ~500 admit spots left
*this is the number that is the most uncertain, thus could be warping the calculation
Yup. I got both version of calculations from you. Although, I would say the 2nd version is clearer.
With all assumptions and calculation, it seems that facebook number 150, is too low to be true, even if it excludes J-term!!! It would imply that out of 746 ED and RD admit spots, they have admitted 150/746=20% in ED so far.
Anyways, no point in guessing available admit spots. As Adcom will make the same decision based on our app, irrespective of how comfortable we feel now by guessing these numbers!!!
Waiting for this Friday. Hopefully something interesting will come.