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I think B is correct since if steps are taken to reduce fuel consumption, then maybe fossil fuels will not finish by next century. But even if alternatives are produced for fossil fuels, industries using fossil fuels would have to switch to alternatives.
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I think this is a high-quality question and I agree with explanation.
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Could someone please explain me why the answer A is correct?
The passage clearly states that "Though predictions vary, many fossil fuel experts believe that all the Earth’s fossil fuels will be consumed by the next century".
But the answer A states that "New technological developments in the next century will not create a substitute for fossil fuels".
To my understanding that means that resources will be used BY the next century and the new technological developments will possibly be created IN THE NEXT century.
Clearly, resources will be used by the time the technological developments will be created. Hence, the answer is not relevant.
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Can some one explain why option " B " is wrong ???? although in this question if we negate both option A & B we can shatter the conclusion . what is the reason that Answer A is preferred over B . My view is

" Human Activity is depleting the Fossil Fuels "
so author is clearing assuming that this activity will continue , it's not going to stop .this is how he arrives at the conclusion because if this Activity stops there will be no depletion of Fossil Fuels and No further repercussions .

Going by this logic if we proceed i came to arrive at answer " B " but it's wrong . can someone explain why it is wrong ???

Thanks
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Still not clear on as to why option B is wrong. Experts pl throw some light on A vs B ?
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As stated in the official solution, awareness alone cannot reduce the rate of depletion. B does not state that the aware individuals will take some steps to reduce the use of fossil fuels.

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When the conclusion talks about disturbing "habitat" and "resources" for survival for billions of people; how are rejecting option C stating that "all parts of the Earth will be similarly affected; this choice is too extreme and overreaching for the argument’s conclusion."

It just seems a conclusion so extreme, would justify an extreme unstated assumption which is option C (at least in this I case can't reject it basis the argument that it is extreme to assume). Further, the author seems more concerned about the impact of global shutdown of fossil fuel industries on habitats, people more than the "shut-down" itself, so the assumption would be on this impact, rather than extinction of fossil fuels, bcuz "assuming" that new tech developments to substitute fossil fuels would "NOT" cause a similar impact on the global habitats, resources and people is not something we can do.
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Thank you for the question. I will update the explanation to provide more clarity.
In short, the point about uniformity of the impact is not material to the discussion. We are not concerned that some people may no longer be able to drive their car while others who never owned a car will not lose that ability. We are not concerned about the degree of impact (this concept is taking the argument outside of the scope). Similarly there are other aspects we are not concerned with such as exact timing and so on. So that is the main issue with choice C.

P.S. Also, if someone lives in Amazon as a tribe and is not impacted at all, that is totally fine as the question does not say "all people", just "billions of people" so along as we have more than 2 billion, we are meeting the requirement :angel:


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When the conclusion talks about disturbing "habitat" and "resources" for survival for billions of people; how are rejecting option C stating that "all parts of the Earth will be similarly affected; this choice is too extreme and overreaching for the argument’s conclusion."

It just seems a conclusion so extreme, would justify an extreme unstated assumption which is option C (at least in this I case can't reject it basis the argument that it is extreme to assume). Further, the author seems more concerned about the impact of global shutdown of fossil fuel industries on habitats, people more than the "shut-down" itself, so the assumption would be on this impact, rather than extinction of fossil fuels, bcuz "assuming" that new tech developments to substitute fossil fuels would "NOT" cause a similar impact on the global habitats, resources and people is not something we can do.
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"all industries and equipment dependent on fossil fuels" in argument suggests that these equipment are dependent on Fossil fuels.
since Option"A" is saying they will have alternatives but we can't be sure that these same industries and equipment will be able to run on alternative fuels.
if they are not, then, even after having alternative fuels, these industries and equipment will dead in waters.

I might be wrong or missed something here but Please elucidate.
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Jayant9090
"all industries and equipment dependent on fossil fuels" in argument suggests that these equipment are dependent on Fossil fuels.
since Option"A" is saying they will have alternatives but we can't be sure that these same industries and equipment will be able to run on alternative fuels.
if they are not, then, even after having alternative fuels, these industries and equipment will dead in waters.

I might be wrong or missed something here but Please elucidate.

Thank you for the question! Appreciate it!

I think you mis-read the option a bit. A) actually says something else: no commercially viable alternative to fossil fuels will be available in time (New technological developments ... will not create alternatives, or No large‐scale ... energy source ... will be developed). You have gone a bit too far since if no substitute energy source exists, we don’t even get to the question of retrofitting equipment, etc. so A) still works.

Hope it is clear.
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Hi everyone!

Can anyone explain, please, how we should address the "timing" gap in the answer choice A? Passage states that reserves will probably be depleted by the end of the current century, while A states that the technology will emerge only in the next century. Even if use a negation technique for A it still does not ruin the argument, because there will be a time gap between depletion and new technology emerging, and during that time gap there inevitably will be a shutdown.

And a more general question, should we even treat that question as an assumption question, or should we treat it as a strengthening question?

Thanks!
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I think you may have misread the argument. It states:

"While estimates vary, many experts in the field believe that Earth's fossil fuel reserves will be exhausted by the next century."

Because of that, there could easily be significant overlap between the timing of depletion and the emergence of alternatives.

I believe this is very much an assumption question. If an alternative becomes available in the next century, the conclusion no longer holds, and it completely undermines the argument.

kosukhov
Hi everyone!

Can anyone explain, please, how we should address the "timing" gap in the answer choice A? Passage states that reserves will probably be depleted by the end of the current century, while A states that the technology will emerge only in the next century. Even if use a negation technique for A it still does not ruin the argument, because there will be a time gap between depletion and new technology emerging, and during that time gap there inevitably will be a shutdown.

And a more general question, should we even treat that question as an assumption question, or should we treat it as a strengthening question?

Thanks!
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Hi, and thanks for the reply!

I'm a non-native speaker, so apoligies if this sounds odd but isn't "by the next century" means by the beginning of the next century (i.e. before 2100)? My interpretation was that reserves will be depleted by the year 2100 and the answer choice states that the technology will appear in the next century, which means in 2100-2199, thus there is no overlap in timing. I checked this interpretation with chatgpt and it seemed to agree with me. Am I misunderstanding the wording?


hr1212
I think you may have misread the argument. It states:

"While estimates vary, many experts in the field believe that Earth's fossil fuel reserves will be exhausted by the next century."

Because of that, there could easily be significant overlap between the timing of depletion and the emergence of alternatives.

I believe this is very much an assumption question. If an alternative becomes available in the next century, the conclusion no longer holds, and it completely undermines the argument.


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Another approach for option B can be that , since we accept premises as facts and passsage says that "Earth's fossil fuel reserves will be exhausted by the next century." . So there is no sense to weaken a fact.

I think these questions needs that type of answer, not like " it is less strenghtner or it is less weakener than other option... " because exam takers need objective answers.
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Hi,

I think the key point to note here is that for an assumption question it should be a must be true type option, which on negation will break the conclusion.
Option B fails because even if individuals do increase awareness and reduce fossil fuel consumption, fossil fuels could still be exhausted by the next century, and industries could still shut down. In other words, negating B does not break the conclusion.
Since the argument does not rely on individual behavior to reach its conclusion, B is not a necessary assumption.
duhaozgur
Another approach for option B can be that , since we accept premises as facts and passsage says that "Earth's fossil fuel reserves will be exhausted by the next century." . So there is no sense to weaken a fact.

I think these questions needs that type of answer, not like " it is less strenghtner or it is less weakener than other option... " because exam takers need objective answers.
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